Arkansas vs. Mississippi State odds, line, spread: 2023 college football picks, Week 8 prediction by top model
An SEC showdown features the Mississippi State Bulldogs (3-3) traveling to take on against the Arkansas Razorbacks (2-5) on Saturday. Mississippi State got back on track last week and snapped its three-game losing streak. On Oct. 7, the Bulldogs topped Western Michigan 41-28. Meanwhile, Arkansas is on a massive five-game losing streak. Last time out, No. 11 Alabama beat the Razorbacks 24-21. Mississippi State is 0-5 ATS, while Arkansas is 3-3 ATS in 2023.
Kickoff from Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium in Fayetteville is set for noon ET. The Razorbacks are 6.5-point favorites in Mississippi State vs. Arkansas, while the over/under for total points is 48. Before making any Arkansas vs. Mississippi State picks, be sure to see the college football predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer simulation model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a stunning profit of more than $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Mississippi State vs. Arkansas and just revealed its picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Now, here are several college football odds and trends for Arkansas vs. Mississippi:
- Mississippi State vs. Arkansas spread: Razorbacks -6.5
- Mississippi State vs. Arkansas over/under: 48 points
- Mississippi State vs. Arkansas money line: Razorbacks -264, Bulldogs +211
- MSST: Mississippi State has hit the team total Under in its last three away games
- ARK: Arkansas has hit the game total Over in eight of its last 13 games
- Mississippi State vs. Arkansas picks: See picks at SportsLine
- Mississippi State vs. Arkansas live stream: fubo (try for free)
Why Mississippi State can cover
Senior quarterback Will Rogers (questionable, shoulder) is calm and poised under center. The Mississippi native completes 61% of his throws for 1,275 yards and 10 passing touchdowns. He's tossed at least two passing touchdowns in three games this season. In his last outing, Rogers went 16 of 22 for 189 yards and three touchdowns. If he can't go, Mike Wright is expected to start for MSU.
Senior receiver Lideatrick Griffin has been the No. 1 option in the passing game. Griffin has impressive quickness and agility in the open field. The Mississippi native leads the team in receptions (29), receiving yards (474), receiving touchdowns (3) and yards per reception (16.3). On Sept. 23 versus South Carolina, Griffin had seven grabs for 256 yards and one score. See which team to pick here.
Why Arkansas can cover
Senior quarterback KJ Jefferson is a superb athlete and playmaker. Jefferson owns a strong throwing arm with a terrific touch on his deep passes. The Mississippi native is currently tied for second in the SEC in passing touchdowns (14) with 1,450 passing yards. On Oct. 7 versus No. 16 Ole Miss, Jefferson went 25 of 39 for 250 yards and two passing touchdowns.
Senior receiver Andrew Armstrong (6'4) thrives in contested catch situations. The Texas native ranks ninth in the conference in receiving yards (485) on 39 receptions and four touchdowns. In Week 6 against Ole Miss, Armstrong reeled eight catches for 86 yards. See which team to pick here.
How to make Mississippi State vs. Arkansas picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 57 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations. You can only get the model's pick at SportsLine.
