Boise State vs. San Diego State odds, time: 2023 college football picks, Week 4 predictions by proven model

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Boise State vs. San Diego State odds, time: 2023 college football picks, Week 4 predictions by proven model

Mountain West foes square off on Friday evening when the San Diego State Aztecs (2-2) host the Boise State Broncos (1-2). San Diego State is on a two-game skid after securing a win in Week 1. On Sept. 16, the Aztecs lost to No. 14 Oregon State 26-9. Boise State is coming off its first win of the year. The Broncos outlasted North Dakota 42-18 in a rout.

Kickoff from Snapdragon Stadium in San Diego is set for 10:30 p.m. ET on CBS Sports Network. The Broncos are 6.5-point favorites in Boise State vs. San Diego State odds, while the over/under for total points is 46.5. Before making any San Diego State vs. Boise State picks, be sure to check out the college football predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a stunning profit of nearly $2,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Boise State vs. San Diego State and just revealed its picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several college football odds and trends for San Diego State vs. Boise State:

  • Boise State vs. San Diego State spread: Broncos -6.5
  • Boise State vs. San Diego State over/under: 46.5 points  
  • Boise State vs. San Diego State money line: Broncos -244, Aztecs +198
  • BSU: Boise State is 2-6 ATS in its last eight meetings against the Aztecs
  • SDSU: San Diego State is 2-6 ATS in its last eight games played in September
  • Boise State vs. San Diego State picks: See picks at SportsLine
  • Boise State vs. San Diego State live stream: fubo (try for free)

Why Boise State can cover

Sophomore receiver Eric McAlister is the No. 1 option in the passing game. McAlister has terrific size (6-foot-4) and uses his height to go up and get contested passes. The Texas native has reeled in 15 receptions for 238 yards and two touchdowns. In his last outing, McAllister notched six catches with 143 yards and two scores. Sophomore running back is also Ashton Jeanty is a reliable pass-catcher.

Jeanty utilizes his burst and quickness to separate from linebackers and safeties in coverage. The Florida native leads all RBs in the FBS in receiving yards (236) with two touchdowns. He has notched at least 95 receiving yards in two of his last three games. Senior receiver Stefan Cobbs provides Boise State with a reliable possession target. He's snagged 13 catches for 131 yards and one touchdown. See which team to pick here.

Why San Diego State can cover

The Aztecs have some effective playmakers. Senior tight end Mark Redman has the toughness to go across the middle of the field for San Diego State. Redman can overpower defenders (6-foot6, 255 pounds) but has soft hands. The California native leads the team in receptions (16), receiving yards (179) and touchdowns (2). In his last contest, Redman secured four passes for 77 yards.

Senior running back Kenan Christon has also made some big plays for SDSU this season. The California native has 34 rushes for 126 yards. Senior quarterback Jalen Mayden has good field vision and pocket awareness to take off and run when needed. Mayden logged 193 rushing yards and two scores thus far. On Sept. 2 versus Idaho State, Mayden compiled the most rushing yards in Aztec history by a quarterback (132). See which team to pick here.

How to make Boise State vs. San Diego State picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Under on the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 39 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations. You can only get the model's pick at SportsLine.