Arkansas vs UConn NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 odds, tips and betting trends

Tune in for a Sweet 16 battle featuring the No. 4 seed UConn Huskies (27-8) and the No. 8 seed Arkansas Razorbacks (22-13) on Thursday at T-Mobile Arena. The NCAA Tournament contest begins at 7:15 PM on CBS.

The Huskies are a 3.5-point favorite against the Razorbacks when Huskies and Razorbacks play. The matchup’s point total is set at 139.5.

UConn is 22-12-0 against the spread this season compared to Arkansas’ 17-16-2 ATS record. In terms of hitting the over, games involving the Huskies are 19-14-1 and the Razorbacks are 14-21-0. The two teams combine to score 152.8 points per game, 13.3 more points than this matchup’s total. UConn is 8-2 against the spread and 8-2 overall in its past 10 contests, while Arkansas has gone 5-4-1 against the spread and 5-5 overall.

Here’s everything you need to get ready for Thursday’s college basketball game.

How to watch UConn vs. Arkansas

• Game Day: Thursday, March 23, 2023
• Game Time: 7:15 PM ET
• TV Channel: CBS

Find out how to watch for free with fuboTV.

Arkansas at UConn odds, spread and lines

• Spread: UConn -3.5
• Total: 139.5
• Moneyline: UConn -178, Arkansas +149

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UConn vs. Arkansas prediction

UConn 73, Arkansas 69

Moneyline

• UConn has won 76.7% of its games this season when the moneyline favorite (23-7).
• In games they have played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -178 or shorter, the Huskies have a record of 20-5 (80% winning percentage).
• UConn has a 64.0% chance to win this game based on the moneyline’s implied probability.

• This season, Arkansas has been the underdog 10 times and won three of those games.
• The Razorbacks have entered six games this season as the underdog by +149 or more and is 2-4 in those contests.
• The implied probability of a win by Arkansas based on the moneyline is 40.2%.

Against the spread

• UConn has covered 22 times in 34 matchups with a spread this season.
• Arkansas has covered 17 times in 35 matchups with a spread this year.
• The 78.5 points per game the Huskies record are 11.1 more points than the Razorbacks allow (67.4).
• UConn has an 18-8 record against the spread and a 23-4 record overall when putting up more than 67.4 points.
• When Arkansas allows fewer than 78.5 points, it is 14-10-1 against the spread and 19-6 overall.
• The Razorbacks score an average of 74.3 points per game, 9.6 more points than the 64.7 the Huskies allow.
• Arkansas is 13-9-1 against the spread and 18-6 overall when it scores more than 64.7 points.
• UConn’s record is 17-7 against the spread and 22-3 overall when it gives up fewer than 74.3 points.

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Over/Under

• The average implied total for the Huskies this season is 76.6 points, 4.6 more points than their implied total of 72 points in Thursday’s game.
• So far this season, UConn has outscored its implied point total for this matchup (72) 23 times.
• The average implied point total on the season for the Razorbacks (75.3) is 7.3 more points than the team’s implied total in this matchup (68).
• On the season, Arkansas has outscored its implied point total for this matchup (68) 25 times.

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