Atlanta Braves at Colorado Rockies odds, picks and predictions
The Atlanta Braves (86-45) and Colorado Rockies (49-83) close out a 3-game set at Coors Field Wednesday. First pitch is at 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Rockies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Braves lead 6-0
The Braves won the first 2 games of the series, 3-1 Tuesday and 14-1 Monday, and are 12-1 against the Rockies over the last 2 years. Atlanta has won 6 of 7 overall as it continues to buzzsaw the entire league and is 17-8 against left-handed starters.
The Rockies have lost 8 of 9 games and are just 5-15 over their last 20 outings. They had a minor victory Tuesday in holding the Braves to fewer than 8 runs for the first time this season. Colorado will have the luxury of facing a rookie making his debut in the daunting confines of Coors Field Wednesday.
Braves at Rockies projected starters
RHP Darius Vines vs. LHP Kyle Freeland
Vines is making his major-league debut.
- Is 2-2 with a 2.70 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 46 K in 43 1/3 IP across 9 starts at 3 minor league levels
- Last start at Triple-A Gwinnett: Loss, 7 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 5 K last Wednesday vs. Nashville Sounds
Freeland (5-13, 5.00 ERA) makes his 26th start. He has a 1.47 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 5.7 K/9 through 135 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 3 ER, 8 H, 0 BB, 3 K Friday vs. Baltimore Orioles
- Last 5 starts vs. Braves: 1-3, 6.04 ERA, 1.59 WHIP, 21 K in 28 1/3 IP
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Braves at Rockies odds
BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 8:15 a.m. ET.
Braves at Rockies picks and predictions
Prediction
Rockies 7, Braves 6
We’re going to shoot our shot today. The Braves were originally supposed to start stud RHP Spencer Strider but have opted to give him an extra day of rest. Vines is not overpowering and relies on deception and command, which could be problematic in the thin Mile High air. That’s not exactly a -250 gamble and the Rockies feel a little mispriced here.
LEAN ROCKIES (+200).
If you’re not willing to shoot your shot on the ML, the Rockies are still priced well on the run line. They held Atlanta to 3 runs Tuesday and figure to be able to put up some runs against a potential deer in the headlights.
Either take the ML and PASS or LEAN ROCKIES +1.5 (+145).
The Over is 5-5 in the last 10 meetings between the teams, but we’ve only seen 14 runs 3 times. The Rockies are also 7-3 O/U over the last 10, but they’ve just topped 14 once in 7 games.
