Miami Marlins at Colorado Rockies odds, picks and predictions

The Miami Marlins (25-25) close out their 4-game road series against the Colorado Rockies (21-29) Thursday. First pitch is 3:10 p.m. ET at Coors Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Rockies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Rockies lead 2-1

After losing the 1st 2 games of the series, the Marlins picked up a 10-2 win on Wednesday to snap a 3-game losing streak.

The Rockies are 5-5 in their last 10 games. Before the loss on Wednesday, they had won 5 of their previous 6 games at home.

Marlins at Rockies projected starters

LHP Braxton Garrett vs. LHP Kyle Freeland

Garrett (1-2, 4.60 ERA) makes his 9th start and 10th appearance. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 in 43 innings.

• Has allowed 2 or fewer ER in 6 of his 8 starts
• Marlins are 6-2 in his 8 starts

Freeland (4-5, 3.88 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 6.4 K/9 in 53 1/3 innings

• Last start: Loss, 2 IP, 8 R (5 ER), 9 H 0 BB, 0 Ks vs. Texas Rangers on Saturday
• Was 2-1 with 1.00 ERA in 3 starts prior to last start

Marlins at Rockies odds

BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:45 a.m. ET.

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Marlins at Rockies picks and predictions

Prediction

Rockies 5, Marlins 4

The Marlins are 11-14 on the road this season, while the Rockies are 12-13 at home and 5-2 in last 7 home games.

Freeland has not allowed a run in his last 2 starts at Coors Field while Braxton has been fantastic outside of 2 starts (15 of his 22 ER allowed came in the 1st 2 starts in May).

BET ROCKIES (+105).

The Marlins are only 19-31 ATS overall this season, the 4th-worst mark in the majors. The Rockies are only 23-27 ATS overall. However, in 15 of the last 16 games in which they covered the spread, they won the game outright, and with plus money on the moneyline for Colorado, PASS on the run line.

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Seven of Garrett’s 8 starts have had fewer than 11 total runs while 5 of Freeland’s last 6 starts have not reached 11 total runs.

BET UNDER 11 (-115).

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