Atlanta Hawks vs. Miami Heat odds, tips and betting trends

The Miami Heat (4-4) will look to extend a three-game winning stretch when visiting the Atlanta Hawks (5-3) on Saturday, November 11, 2023 at State Farm Arena. This game is at 7:30 PM ET on BSSE and BSSUN.

The Hawks are a 4.5-point favorite against the Heat when the Hawks and the Heat meet. The game’s over/under is set at 229.

Hawks vs. Heat Betting Odds

BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Friday at 7:46 PM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

• Spread: Atlanta -4.5
• Total: 229
• Moneyline: Atlanta -184, Miami +156

• Pick ATS: Hawks (- 4.5)
• Pick OU:

  Under (229)
  

• Prediction:
  Hawks 118 – Heat 110

• Atlanta has come away with two wins in the three contests it has been listed as the favorite this season.
• Atlanta has been named as a favorite of -184 or more just one time this season and came away with a victory in that game.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Atlanta has a 64.8% chance of pulling out a win.

• Miami has lost all three of the games it has been listed as the moneyline underdog this season.
• Miami has not yet won a game when they entered play as a moneyline underdog with odds of +156 or longer in three chances.
• The implied moneyline probablility in this matchup gives Miami a 39.1% chance to win.

• The 121.8 points per game the Hawks average are 11.7 more points than the Heat allow (110.1).
• Atlanta is 3-4 against the spread and 5-2 overall when scoring more than 110.1 points.
• The Hawks are at the second spot in the NBA’s scoring charts (121.8 PPG), while the Heat allow the 10th-fewest points per game (110.1) in the league.
• Miami is the NBA’s 27th-ranked offense (107.5 PPG), while Atlanta is the 23rd-ranked defense (117).
• The Hawks have out-scored their opponents by a total of 38 points this season (4.8 points per game on average), and opponents of the Heat have out-scored them by 21 more points on the year (2.6 per game).

• Atlanta’s average implied point total this year is 2.5 more points than its implied total in Saturday’s game (119.5 implied points on average compared to 117 implied points in this game).
• So far this season, Atlanta has put up more than 117 points in seven games.
• The average implied point total on the year for Miami (113.6) is 1.6 more points than the team’s implied total in this matchup (112).

• Game Day: Saturday, November 11, 2023
• Game Time: 7:30 PM ET
• TV Channel: BSSE and BSSUN
• Location: Atlanta, Georgia
• Arena: State Farm Arena
• TV Channel: Bally Sports
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