Miami Heat vs. Detroit Pistons odds, tips and betting trends

Sportsbook Wire

19 March 2023

Miami Heat vs. Detroit Pistons odds, tips and betting trends

The Detroit Pistons (16-55) play the Miami Heat (38-34) on Sunday, March 19, 2023 at Little Caesars Arena. It tips at 6:00 PM ET on BSDET and BSSUN.

The Heat take the court as 9.5-point favorites against the Pistons. The game’s point total is set at 218.5.

Heat vs. Pistons Betting Odds

Spread: Miami -9.5
Total: 218.5
Moneyline: Miami -455, Detroit +349

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Heat at Pistons odds, spread, & more

Prediction

Pick ATS: Pistons (+ 9.5)
Pick OU:
Over (218.5)
Prediction:
Heat 115 – Pistons 109

Miami has been victorious in 32, or 61.5%, of the 52 contests it has been chosen as favorites in this season.
This year, Miami has won two of three games when listed as at least -455 or better on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies Miami has a 82% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Detroit has gone 14-53 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 20.9% of those games).
Detroit has gone 2-19 when playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +349 or longer (9.5%).
The implied moneyline probablility for this matchup gives Detroit a 22.3% chance to win.

The Heat put up 9.6 fewer points per game (109.0) than the Pistons give up (118.6).
When Miami puts up more than 118.6 points, it is 7-4-1 against the spread and 9-3 overall.
When Detroit gives up fewer than 109.0 points, it is 11-1 against the spread and 6-6 overall.
The Pistons average just 1.4 more points per game (111.1) than the Heat allow (109.7).
Detroit has put together a 24-17 ATS record and a 16-25 overall record in games it scores more than 109.7 points.
Miami is 20-18-3 against the spread and 29-12 overall when it gives up fewer than 111.1 points.
The Heat are at the bottom of the NBA’s scoring charts (109.0 PPG), while the Pistons allow the 29th-fewest points per game (118.6) in the league.
The 28th-ranked scoring NBA team (111.1 PPG) is Detroit, while the Miami squad ranks second in the league defensively (109.7 PPG).
The Heat have been out-scored by 48 points this season (0.7 points per game on average), and opponents of the Pistons have out-scored them by 534 more points on the year (7.5 per game).

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Miami’s average implied point total this year is 1.7 fewer points than its implied total in Sunday’s game (112.3 implied points on average compared to 114 implied points in this game).
So far this season, Miami has put up more than 114 points in 20 games.
The 117.9-point average implied total on the season for Detroit is 12.9 more points than the team’s 105-point implied total in this matchup.

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