Bears vs. Vikings prediction, odds, spread, start time: 2023 NFL picks, Week 6 best bets from computer model
The Chicago Bears (1-4) will try to build on their first win of the season when they host the Minnesota Vikings (1-4) on Sunday afternoon. Chicago snapped its 14-game losing skid with an emphatic 40-20 win at Washington last week, racing out to a 27-3 lead at halftime. Minnesota picked up its first win of the season in a 21-13 final at Carolina two weeks ago, but it fell to Kansas City by a touchdown last week. The Vikings are playing without star wide receiver Justin Jefferson (hamstring) for at least the next four games.
Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET on Sunday at Soldier Field in Chicago. Minnesota is favored by 3 points in the latest Bears vs. Vikings odds, while the over/under is 43.5 points, per SportsLine consensus. Before entering any Vikings vs. Bears picks, you'll want to see the NFL predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 6 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 171-119 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 25-11 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
The model has set its sights on Bears vs. Vikings. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Vikings vs. Bears:
- Bears vs. Vikings spread: Bears +3
- Bears vs. Vikings over/under: 43.5 points
- Bears vs. Vikings money line: Bears: +135, Vikings: -160
- Bears vs. Vikings picks: See picks here
- Bears vs. Vikings live stream: fubo (try for free)
Why the Bears can cover
Chicago could easily be on a two-game winning streak coming into this game, as it held a 28-7 lead against Denver two weeks ago before cruising to a blowout win at Washington last week. The Bears bounced back from their disastrous loss to the Broncos by racing out to a 27-3 halftime lead against the Commanders. Quarterback Justin Fields threw for 282 yards and four touchdowns while rushing for an additional 57 yards.
Sixth-year wide receiver D.J. Moore had eight receptions for a whopping 230 yards and three scores, putting him at five touchdowns overall this season. Minnesota is coming off its fourth loss in its first five games and will be moving forward without Jefferson, who ranks third in the NFL in receiving yards. The Vikings have only covered the spread two times in their last 11 games.
Why the Vikings can cover
The Bears finally picked up their first win of the season but they have not proven themselves to be a good betting option. They are 2-10-1 against the spread in their last 13 games, and they are riding a nine-game home losing streak. Minnesota has won five of the last six meetings between these teams, covering the spread in five of the last seven matchups.
The Vikings are going to be playing without Jefferson, but they still have tight end T.J. Hockenson, wide receiver Jordan Addison and wide receiver K.J. Osborn. Quarterback Kirk Cousins has thrown for 1,498 yards and 13 touchdowns, while running back Alexander Mattison has rushed for 276 yards. Cousins had 284 passing yards and two touchdowns in a narrow loss to Kansas City last week. See which team to pick here.
How to make Bears vs. Vikings picks
The model has simulated Vikings vs. Bears 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over, and it's also generated a point-spread pick where one side has all of the value. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
