Belmont at the Big A Picks October 28: Mother Goose Analysis

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27 October 2023

Belmont at the Big A Picks October 28: Mother Goose Analysis

Belmont at the Big A rolls on Saturday with a stakes trio. The Mother Goose and Forty Niner will be contested on dirt. The Awad Stakes on turf.

Full Card Analysis

Belmont at the Big A- 1

Post: 12:05 PM ET; $75k Maiden Special Weight going 6 1/2 f on dirt; Entries: 6

#3 REFUAH (6-1) gets the top selection. He comes into the race in really good form. This one shouldn’t have trouble with the distance.
#1 BEARY FUNNY (7-5) should improve off the first start and appears to be a major player in this race. He has races good enough to beat this group.
#2 FLYING IN STYLE (3-1) feels like a fringe contender in this spot. He seems to fit well enough here. This one should be part of the early pace in this spot.
#6 VAUNTED (9-2) feels like a fringe contender in this spot. He has to be respected going out for the combination of Ryerson and Carmouche. This one comes into the race in really good form.

Selections: 3 – 1 – 2 – 6

Belmont at the Big A- 2

Post: 12:35 PM ET; $28k Claiming going 1 m on dirt; Entries: 6

#3 HAMMERIN AAMER (9-5) is the top pick. He has tactical speed and can sit just off the leaders for a stalk and pounce trip. This one has races good enough to beat this group.
#5 THE REVENGER (2-1) appears to be a major player in this race. He looks to be the class of the field. This one has to be respected going out for the combination of Englehart and Carmouche.
#4 MY FRIENDS BEER (9-2) should be competitive in this spot. He comes into the race in really good form. This one will likely be in the first flight of runners and should be in with a chance late.
#6 PIT BOSS (4-1) could be in with a shot in this race. He has races good enough to beat this group. This one has solid early pace figures in a race that looks to lack a ton of front running speed.

Selections: 3 – 5 – 4 – 6

Belmont at the Big A- 3

Post: 1:10 PM ET; $90k Maiden Special Weight going 1 3/16 m on turf; Entries: 11

#7 WAR OFFICER (5-2) looks best here. He has races good enough to beat this group. This one is well bred for this spot.
#1 JAMESTOWN (6-1) should be competitive in this spot. He will likely have a lot to do in the lane, but could get up with a competitive run. This one could be a dangerous threat to get loose on the front end.
#3 THE JACKAL (6-1) should be competitive in this spot. He projects to sit mid pack and come with one run. This one has to be respected going out for the combination of Mcgaughey and Franco.
#5 TORIGO (4-1) should be competitive in this spot. He has the pedigree to be a major player in this spot. This one has races good enough to beat this group.

Selections: 7 – 1 – 3 – 5

Belmont at the Big A- 4

Post: 1:40 PM ET; $70k Claiming going 7 f on dirt; Entries: 9

#2B COLONEL BOWMAN (1-1) gets the top selection. He has races good enough to beat this group. This one should be sitting in the second tier of runners and looking to make one well timed run at the leaders.
#6 SAGAMORE MISCHIEF (7-2) feels like a fringe contender in this spot. He makes sense on speed figures.
#7 MAGNOLIA MIDNIGHT (7-2) isn’t without hope. He seems to fit well enough here. This one will likely be in the first flight of runners and should be in with a chance late.
#4 FLINT RIDGE (12-1) is a price horse and is probably best to put underneath on most tickets. He seems to fit well enough here. This one could be a dangerous threat to get loose on the front end.

Selections: 2B- 6 – 7 – 4

Belmont at the Big A- 5

Post: 2:12 PM ET; $102k Allowance Optional Claiming going 6 f on dirt; Entries: 8

#6 YOU LOOK COLD (5-2) is the top pick. She goes out for the Mott barn and gets Alvarado in the irons.
#2 REMAIN ANONYMOUS (12-1) is a price horse and should be competitive in this spot. She has races good enough to beat this group. This one goes out for the Nevin barn and gets Franco in the irons.
#5 LADY MILAGRO (8-1) feels like a fringe contender in this spot. She seems to fit well enough here. This one should be part of the early pace in this spot.
#7 QUICK MUNNY (5-1) isn’t without hope. She makes sense on speed figures. This one has to be respected going out for the combination of Atras and Carmouche.

Selections: 6 – 2 – 5 – 7

Belmont at the Big A- 6

Post: 2:44 PM ET; $65k Starter Allowance going 1 m on turf; Entries: 11

#6 ELLE EST FORTE (9-2) looks best here. She looks to be the class of the field. This one has races good enough to beat this group.
#7 DONTMESSWITHTESS (3-1) feels like a fringe contender in this spot. She goes out for the Maker barn and gets Ortiz in the irons. This one has the top overall power rating in the group.
#2 DIAMOND STATUS (6-1) is probably best to put underneath on most tickets. She will likely be in the first flight of runners and should be in with a chance late.
#1 MISCREANT (10-1) is a price horse and is probably best to put underneath on most tickets. She seems to fit well enough here.

Selections: 6 – 7 – 2 – 1

Belmont at the Big A- 7

Post: 3:16 PM ET; $100k Allowance going 1 1/16 m on turf; Entries: 15

#5 REDISTRICTING (6-5) gets the top selection. He goes out for the Brown barn and gets Ortiz in the irons. This one comes into the race in really good form.
#3 RAMBLIN’ WRECK (4-1) appears to be a major player in this race. He looks to be the class of the field. This one will likely have a lot to do in the lane, but could get up with a competitive run.
#10 CAPTURE THE FLAG (6-1) should be competitive in this spot. He shouldn’t have trouble with the distance.
#14 BAD TO THE BONES (6-1) could be in with a shot in this race. He has been really solid in recent starts and should be ready to run a big one here. This one shouldn’t have trouble with the distance.

Selections: 5 – 3 – 10- 14

Belmont at the Big A- 8

Post: 3:48 PM ET; $250k Mother Goose S. going 1 1/8 m on dirt; Entries: 7

#5 OCCULT (5-2) is the top pick. She makes sense on speed figures. This one has proven to be able to handle these conditions in previous starts.
#6 XIGERA (6-5) should be competitive in this spot. She has tactical speed and can sit just off the leaders for a stalk and pounce trip.
#7 DEFINING PURPOSE (5-1) should be competitive in this spot. She makes sense on speed figures. This one has tactical speed and can sit just off the leaders for a stalk and pounce trip.
#4 UNDERVALUED ASSET (8-1) should be competitive in this spot. She looks to be the class of the field. This one has been really solid in recent starts and should be ready to run a big one here.

Selections: 5 – 6 – 7 – 4

Belmont at the Big A- 9

Post: 4:22 PM ET; $135k Awad S. going 1 1/16 m on turf; Entries: 8

#8 SPIRIT PRINCE (8-5) looks best here. He goes out for the Clement barn and gets Davis in the irons. This one has tactical speed and can sit just off the leaders for a stalk and pounce trip.
#4 BLUE CREEK (15-1) is a price horse and should be competitive in this spot. He will likely have a lot to do in the lane, but could get up with a competitive run.
#3 MOVE TO GOLD (9-2) should improve off the first start and is probably best to put underneath on most tickets. He has to be respected going out for the combination of Brown and Franco.
#6 DANCING MISCHIEF (10-1) is a price horse and is probably best to put underneath on most tickets. He seems to fit well enough here.

Selections: 8 – 4 – 3 – 6

Belmont at the Big A- 10

Post: 4:53 PM ET; $300k Forty Niner S. going 1 m on dirt; Entries: 8

#3 ACCRETIVE (2-1) gets the top selection. He has to be respected going out for the combination of Brown and Ortiz. This one has races good enough to beat this group.
#4 FILM STAR (3-1) appears to be a major player in this race. He will likely be out on or near the lead and will look to hold off the charge to the wire. This one shouldn’t have trouble with the distance.
#5 DR ARDITO (6-1) appears to be a major player in this race. He shouldn’t have trouble with the distance. This one has been really solid in recent starts and should be ready to run a big one here.
#2 EVERSO MISCHIEVOUS (5-2) appears to be a major player in this race. He has to be respected going out for the combination of Cox and Torres. This one may benefit from a hot pace up front.

Selections: 3 – 4 – 5 – 2

Belmont at the Big A- 11

Post: 5:23 PM ET; $90k Maiden Special Weight going 6 f on turf; Entries: 11

#1 RIVIERE (5-1) appears to be a major player in this race. She has proven to be able to handle these conditions in previous starts.
#2 MATERIAL WITNESS (7-2) is the top pick. She has to be respected going out for the combination of Atras and Franco. This one has solid early pace figures in a race that looks to lack a ton of front running speed.
#4 LE BEAU (4-1) could be in with a shot in this race. She has proven to be able to handle these conditions in previous starts. This one makes sense on speed figures.
#8 OOLONG HAI (15-1) is a price horse and feels like a fringe contender in this spot. She could be a dangerous threat to get loose on the front end. This one has races good enough to beat this group.

Selections: 1 – 2 – 4 – 8