Best MLB Bets for Sunday 7/16: Top moneyline, run lines, over/under, and Same Game Parlay

Major League Baseball will be busy Sunday afternoon and evening, with a full slate starting with the Giants at Pirates. The day isn't exactly overflowing with betting value, so we had to work a bit to uncover some diamond-in-the-rough plays on the moneyline, run line, over/unders, and player prop market. Today we will highlight our best bets for the Sunday slate, giving you a glimpse into our own wagers for the day.

Who's hotter than the Braves and Dodgers? Both clubs have gone 7-3 over their past 10 games, with Atlanta head-and-shoulders above the rest of the NL with 61 wins and L.A. starting to create some space between the top of the West and the faltering D-backs. But we'll be fading the Dodgers today in favor of the Mets' moneyline, which we'll talk about soon.

The Orioles also grabbed our attention on the run line this afternoon, with Kyle Bradish set to take the hill against the Marlins' Steven Okert. We'll explain our reasoning behind backing Baltimore on this Sunday matinee. 

Let's get to the best bets of MLB's Sunday slate, highlighting our favorite moneylines, run lines, over/unders, and Same Game Parlays. Enjoy the remainder of your weekend!

Best MLB Bets for Friday 7/14: Moneyline

Mets (-115) vs. Dodgers 

We have Max Scherzer bouncing back after the much-needed All-Star break and besting his former squad tonight, while L.A. rookie Bobby Miller continues his recent struggles. As up and down as Mad Max has been this year, he does enjoy a respectable 4.8 runs of support per start — a big reason why the veteran is 8-3 despite his 4.31 ERA and 1.23 WHIP.

Miller, meanwhile, has surrendered 20 earned runs over his past four starts and has endured considerable trouble missing bats during that stretch. Opponents are hitting Miller hard nearly 42 percent of the time, so this is a great opportunity for Pete Alonso and company to halt the Mets' four-game skid and avoid getting swept at home by the surging Dodgers.

Best MLB Bets for Friday 7/14: Run Line

Twins (-1.5) @ Athletics (+108 with the 25% DK boost)

The Twins start their series finale with the Athletics behind Joe Ryan, arguably an All-Star snub with his 3.70 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, . 222 batting average against, and 10.4 strikeouts per nine innings. Oakland is hitting just .220 on the season against right-handed pitchers, and maintains an MLB-worst -252 run differential.

The Twins almost lost to the A's on Friday, but ultimately slugger Joey Gallo's late two-run homer bailed them out. Minnesota then scored 10 runs on Saturday en route to a 10-7 victory. If Ryan can even get half that much run support, the Twins will cruise to the series sweep on Sunday afternoon. We also love the OVER on Ryan's 7.5 strikeouts (-105), as he struck out 10 Orioles in his last outing and nine Royals in his previous start. Only two clubs (including the Twins) have struck out more than Oakland this season. 

Orioles (-1.5) vs. Marlins (+120)

Kyle Bradish has allowed two or fewer earned runs in five straight starts for Baltimore, and he's only allowed four-plus runs once since late April. The Marlins' OBP against right-handed pitchers is just .313 and their slugging percentage against righties isn't much better (.388).

Meanwhile, Steven Okert makes his first "start" for Miami, although he's likely to just be an opener as the 32-year-old has never started a game before. Considering Miami's bullpen ERA of 4.15 — and the Orioles sitting amongst the top 10 in myriad hitting categories this season — we're smashing Bradish and the Birds on the run line for plus odds. 

Best MLB Bets for Friday 7/14: Over/Under

Cardinals vs. Nationals: OVER 9.5 (+100)

These teams combined for 15 runs on Saturday and 12 on Friday, so aiming for 10 with plus odds feels pretty good. Washington's problem isn't offense lately — the Nats have 28 runs in four games — but their putrid pitching staff continues to let them down with a 4.81 team ERA (fourth-highest in MLB) and 5.08 bullpen ERA (third-worst). 

The Cardinals seem like one of the best bounce-back candidates of the second half. Nolan Arenado's bat has woken up, Paul Goldschmidt continues to impress, and Oli Marmol is finally starting to look more comfortable in his managerial role. St. Louis has won four of its past six games and scored 30 runs over its past five. We're smashing the OVER on this one and hoping the 90-degrees weather at Busch Stadium leads to some balls carrying out of the park. 

Best MLB Bets for Friday 7/14: Same Game Parlay

Cubs vs. Red Sox: Chicago moneyline, Justin Steele 5+ strikeouts (2 legs, +135)

The Cubs snapped Boston's six-game winning streak on Saturday, dumping 10 runs on them at Wrigley while holding the BoSox bats to four. Now the Cubbies send out staff ace Justin Steele, who's enjoying a career season and will likely garner plenty of interest around the trade deadline. Steele has a 9-2 record, 2.56 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, and 8.0 strikeouts per nine.

That K/9 rate isn't eye-popping, but Boston's strikeout rate of late should be more than enough reassurance. The Sox strike out 8.17 times per game — among the bottom 10 in the majors — and 8.98 times per away game. And Sox starter Kutter Crawford has not been sharp in July. Over the past two weeks, he sports a 6.75 ERA, 2.00 WHIP, and 6.8 K/9. We're taking the Cubs to win the series finale at Wrigley and Steele to rack up at least five strikeouts, so we might as well make an SGP out of it.