Blue Jays betting trends: Teoscar Hernandez could spark sluggish offence

The Toronto Blue Jays are 17-13 but have lost two straight series. They have a negative run differential (-10) and are ranked 17th in the majors in runs. Teoscar Hernandez is expected to return from injury this week.

Teoscar Hernandez has been a top-20 hitter by wRC+ since the beginning of 2020. He has two straight Silver Slugger awards and has some of the best raw power in the sport. The Blue Jays' offence scored 3.32 runs/game while he was absent this year. Hernandez is an intriguing bet on an RBI prop. Bo Bichette and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. are better values on run props with Hernandez back.

Santiago Espinal has increased his power this season. He has driven in a run in 36.7% of his games this year compared to 14.1% last year. He could increase that number further if he moves up the lineup or the Blue Jays' offence improves.

Yusei Kikuchi has had a good start to the season with the Blue Jays. He's been tinkering with his pitch mix and using his changeup more. It's too early to bet on him, but he's coming off his best start with Toronto.

Jose Berrios is Toronto's Opening Day starter. He has a 5.34 ERA with a xERA (7.75) and FIP (5.20).

Berrios has a strikeout rate of 14.8%, which is lower than he's produced in any six-start span since his rookie season. Berrio hasn't lost any velocity or movement on his pitches.

Springer is the biggest free-agent signing in Blue Jays history. He's been a consistent offensive player so far this season. Springer has swung at 50.4 percent of the pitches he's seen in 2022. He has posted a walk rate of 5.9 percent.