Blue Jays vs Mariners Prediction

pickdawgz.com

23 July 2023

The Toronto Blue Jays will play the Seattle Mariners in Game 3 of their series at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington. Seattle has won the first two games in this series by scores of 3-2 and 9-8. In Game 2, Toronto led 7-4 in the seventh inning, but Seattle scored five runs in the inning for the win.

Blue Jays Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 54-45 this season and they have lost four of their last five games. Prior to losing the first two games in this series, Toronto lost two out of three games at home to San Diego. The Toronto pitching staff has a 3.85 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and a .241 opponent batting average this season. The Blue Jays offense has scored 444 runs with a .261 batting average and a .330 on base percentage. Matt Chapman is batting .262 with 12 home runs and 42 RBI’s for the Blue Jays. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Alek Manoah, who is 2-8 with a 6.18 ERA and a 1.84 WHIP over 67.0 innings pitched this year.

Mariners Preview

The Seattle Mariners are 50-48 this season and they have won five of their last seven games. Prior to this series, Seattle split a four game series at home against Minnesota. The Seattle pitching staff has a 3.81 ERA, a 1.19 WHIP, and a .236 opponent batting average. The Mariners offense has scored 440 runs with a .232 batting average and a .311 on base percentage this year. Julio Rodriguez is batting .245 with 14 home runs and 51 RBI’s for the Mariners. The projected starting pitcher for Seattle is Bryan Woo, who is 1-2 with a 4.74 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP over 38.0 innings pitched this season.

Big Bankroll Player? JOIN THE DIME CLUB!!!! Text 775-636-7676 or Call PickDawgz at 888-419-0435

Seattle Mariners Team Facts

The Mariners have won each of their last seven day games after playing the previous day.
The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as favourites against American League opponents following a home win.
The Mariners have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last nine games as home favourites against American League opponents.
The Mariners have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games as favourites against American League opponents.
The Mariners have led after 7 innings in each of their last seven day games at T-Mobile Park against American League opponents.

Toronto Blue Jays Team Facts

The Blue Jays have won each of their last three games as underdogs following a loss.
The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line nine of their last 10 day games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three road day games.
The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in each of their last four day games.
The Blue Jays have led after 7 innings in three of their last four games as underdogs.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

Ty France has recorded an RBI in four of the Mariners' last five games as favourites against AL East opponents.
Cal Raleigh has hit two home runs in each of his last two appearances against the Blue Jays.
J.P. Crawford has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mariners' last seven day games.
Ty France has recorded at least one total base in each of the Mariners' last six games as favourites against AL East opponents.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Blue Jays' last five games against opponents that held a winning record.
Danny Jansen has hit a home run in each of his last two road appearances with the Blue Jays against AL opponents.
Daulton Varsho has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays' last seven day games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
Matt Chapman has recorded at least one total base in each of the Blue Jays' last seven games against the Mariners.

Matchup/League Facts

The Seattle Mariners ranks 29th in the league for strikeouts against this season (962).
The Seattle Mariners are one of only 4 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and walks allowed this season.
The Toronto Blue Jays ranks 4th in the league for strikeouts this season (937).
The Toronto Blue Jays are one of only 4 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and walks allowed this season.

Pick

The Blue Jays limp into this game trying to avoid being swept and they have struggled over the last week. Seattle had some issues with the Tigers and Twins after the All-Star break, but they were able to get two big wins to start this series. Seattle is starting Bryan Woo, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts, but did allow six earned runs in his last outing. Toronto is starting Alek Manoah, who has allowed five earned runs in two starts (9 IP) since being back with the Blue Jays. I cannot trust Manoah and I do think Woo’s last outing was an outlier, so I am backing the Mariners here.