Blue Jays vs. Orioles picks and odds: Fade Berrios away from home

Toronto Blue Jays begin their final road trip of the regular season tonight against the Orioles in Baltimore.

Jose Berrios takes the mound for Toronto against Dean Kremer. Toronto is chasing home-field advantage in the AL Wild Card.

Orioles are going to lead after three innings. Berrios has been inconsistent this season. Kremer has a 3.00 ERA versus Toronto over three starts. He's also managed to hold this Jays lineup to a collective .214 average. O's are expected to win the game. Toronto has lost after 3 innings in five of Berrieos' last seven starts, but he's been better at Rogers Centre.

Baltimore is going to beat Toronto by at least 3.5 runs. Toronto's pitching staff has been solid lately, but Jose Berrios has allowed 11 runs in his last two starts. Baltimore has gone over this total in two of the games against Toronto this year.

Blue Jays vs. Orioles is a game with a high scoring potential. The game should be decided in the first inning.