Blue Jays vs. Rays picks and odds: Gausman and Rasmussen should keep scoring down

Toronto Blue Jays and Tampa Bay Rays are playing a new series tonight at Tropicana Field.

Blue Jays are under 7.5 runs and under 3. 5 runs in the first five innings. Blue Jays will score first and win.

The Blue Jays are one of the highest-scoring teams in the majors (4.85 runs/game, third in MLB). They have hit the under in five consecutive games. This is their lowest over/under total in three weeks.

Kevin Gausman and Drew Rasmussen are the Blue Jays and Rays' starting pitchers. The Rays are 22nd in scoring and have scored three or fewer runs in seven of their past nine games. Gusman has a 2.35 ERA over his past four road starts and Rasmussen has 1.77 ERA in four starts against the Jays since 2021.

Blue Jays are favourites (-148) against the Rays. Toronto has won 12 of its past 15 games. Tampa has lost seven of the last nine games and is struggling.

Both teams are coming off an off-day. The game is expected to be close. Both teams scored under 3.5 runs in May.

Blue Jays and Rays are playing each other.