Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Predictions & Picks

Saturday's contest at Fenway Park has the Boston Red Sox (57-52) matching up with the Toronto Blue Jays (61-50) at 4:10 PM ET (on August 5). Our computer prediction projects a close 5-4 win for the Red Sox, so expect a tight matchup.

The probable pitchers are Jose Berrios (8-7) for the Blue Jays and John Schreiber (1-1) for the Red Sox.

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Game Info & Odds

• When: Saturday, August 5, 2023 at 4:10 PM ET
• Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
• How to Watch on TV: Fox Sports 1

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Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Score Prediction

Our pick for this matchup is Red Sox 5, Blue Jays 4.

Total Prediction for Blue Jays vs. Red Sox

• Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs

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Blue Jays Performance Insights

• The Blue Jays have played as the favorite in six of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
• When it comes to hitting the over, Toronto and its opponents are 2-8-0 in its last 10 games with a total.
• The Blue Jays have not played a game with a spread over their last 10 outings.
• The Blue Jays have been favorites in 72 games this season and won 40 (55.6%) of those contests.
• This season Toronto has won 40 of its 72 games, or 55.6%, when favored by at least -115 on the moneyline.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 53.5% chance of a victory for the Blue Jays.
• Toronto has scored the 15th-most runs in the majors this season with 498 (4.5 per game).
• The Blue Jays have a 3.83 team ERA that ranks fifth among all league pitching staffs.

Red Sox Performance Insights

• The Red Sox have played as the underdog in six of their past 10 games and have gone 4-2 in those contests.
• When it comes to the over/under, Boston and its opponents are 3-7-0 in its previous 10 games.
• Bookmakers have not posted a runline in any of the Red Sox's past 10 matchups.
• The Red Sox have been underdogs in 57 games this season and have come away with the win 30 times (52.6%) in those contests.
• This season, Boston has come away with a win 25 times in 50 chances when named as an underdog of at least -105 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Red Sox have a 51.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• The offense for Boston is No. 9 in baseball, scoring 4.9 runs per game (538 total runs).
• The Red Sox have pitched to a 4.29 ERA this season, which ranks 17th in baseball.

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