BNP Paribas Open: Rublev vs Murray Best Bets and Predictions

The second round of the BNP Paribas Open at Indian Wells begins on Friday after two exciting days of Round of 128 action in the ATP 1000 hard courts tournament, one of the premier tennis events of the season.

While there was no major upsets on the first day of competition on Wednesday, we’re left with some intriguing matchups for the BNP Paribas Open predictions, including a showdown between Andrey Rublev and Andy Murray. Let’s take a look at the Rublev vs. Murray best bets with our scores and odds analysis.

Andrey Rublev vs Andy Murray Information

Andrey Rublev vs Andy Murray

Location: Indian Wells Tennis Garden in Indian Wells, California

Date & Time: Friday, March 8 at TBD

How to Watch: Tennis TV, ESPN+ and TSN (Canada)

Andrey Rublev vs Andy Murray Recent Scores

As one of the top 32 seeds in the tournament, Rublev received a bye into the second round to play Murray, who had to earn his spot in the Round of 64. Prior to the BNP Paribas Open predictions, Rublev reached the semi-finals of the Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championship before defaulting to Alexander Bublik down 7-6 (4), 6-7 (5), 6-5. Rublev beat Sebastian Korda, Arthur Cazaux, and Zhizhen Zhang earlier in the draw.

Murray earned a spot in the second round for the Rublev vs. Murray best bets with a 6-3, 6-2 win over David Goffin. His tennis stats for the match included four aces, winning 81 percent of points on second serve, and going 3-for-5 in breakpoint opportunities. He beat Denis Shapovalov in the first round in Dubai before losing to Ugo Humbert.

Andrey Rublev vs Andy Murray Analysis

Rublev is a major betting favorite in tennis odds for the Rublev vs. Murray best bets and for good reason. The Russian, ranked No. 5 in the world, has been playing some of his best tennis this season. He’ll obviously need to do a better job of keeping his emotions in check after his meltdown in Dubai, which resulted in his disqualification from his semi-final match against Bublik after insulting a line-judge. 

Rublev also reached the quarter-finals in Qatar, at the ABN AMRO Open, and the Australian Open, where he lost to eventual champion Jannik Sinner. He is 61-23 overall during his last 52 weeks of competition, including 34-16 on outdoor hard courts. He’s 1-1 in two career matches against Murray, most recently beating him at ATP Rotterdam in 2021. Murray beat Rublev in three sets in the 2017 Australian Open.

Murray is 3-6 this season and has been showing signs of aging, although he’s still capable of competing against some of the top players in a one-match scenario. He’s 3-4 on outdoor hard courts this season and is 394-133 overall on the surface in his career. Four of his losses this year have come in three sets and he should be able to keep it close against Rublev.

Odds Breakdown for Andrey Rublev vs Andy Murray

Andrey Rublev

Rublev is the betting favorite in the match and has -525 moneyline odds in the Rublev vs. Murray best bets. His other tennis odds by BetUS include winning the first set (-350) and winning in straight sets (-260).

Andy Murray

Murray is a +320 moneyline favorite and has +225 odds to win the first set. He has +400 tennis odds to win the match in straight sets.

Andrey Rublev vs Andy Murray Betting Pick and Prediction

As competitive as Murray still is at 36 years old, he won’t be able to keep up with Rublev, who has enjoyed an extended rest prior to his first match at Indian Wells.

• Pick 1: Rublev -525
• Pick 2: Rublev in straight sets (-260)

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