Australian Open: Sinner vs Rublev Betting Analysis and Prediction
As good as Novak Djokovic, the favorite in Australian Open predictions, has been through the first week of the first grand slam of the season, Jannik Sinner has been even better. The 22-year-old Italian, who led Italy to the Davis Cup at the end of the 2023 season, hasn’t lost a set through four matches and looks poised for a breakout season in 2024. Sinner will carry that momentum into his quarter-final match against Andrey Rublev, who overcame a 2-1 set deficit to beat Alex de Minaur in the Round of 16.
Sinner vs Rublev Picks
- Pick: Sinner -400
Let’s take a closer look at the Sinner vs. Rublev betting analysis.
Jannik Sinner vs Andrey Rublev Information
Jannik Sinner vs Andrey Rublev
Location of the game: Rod Laver Arena in Melbourne, Australia
Date & Time: Tuesday, January 23 at 4:15 a.m. ET
How to Watch: ESPN and TSN (Canada)
Jannik Sinner vs Andrey Rublev Recent Scores
Sinner, who now has the third-shortest tennis odds to win the Australian Open behind Djokovic and Carlos Alcaraz, is coming off of a 6-4, 7-5, 6-3 win over Karen Khachanov. He had eight aces in the match, won 79 percent of points on first serve, and was 5-of-8 in breakpoint opportunities. He also has wins over Sebastian Baez, Jesper de Jong, and Botic van de Zandschulp.
Rublev, meanwhile, comes into the Sinner vs. Rublev betting analysis after a 6-4, 6-7 (5), 6-7 (4), 6-3, 6-0 win over de Minaur. He had six aces, won 67 percent of points on first serve, and was 8-of-13 in breakpoint opportunities. Andrey won 12 points in a row at one point in the match. He previously beat Sebastian Korda, Christopher Eubanks, and Thiago Seyboth Wild.
Jannik Sinner vs Andrey Rublev Betting Analysis
Sinner Dominating Down Under
Sinner has excelled in tennis events dating back to late in 2023, when he beat Djokovic in the round robin of the ATP Finals and subsequently led Italy to win the Davis Cup. He’s into the Australian Open quarter-finals for the second time in his career and looking to make his second career grand slam semi-final. That seems likely considering how well he has played through his first four matches.
Sinner needed just 8 hours and 43 minutes to win his first four matches and hasn’t dropped a set. He has been on court almost three hours fewer than Rublev and played 58 fewer games. He is 4-2 in six career matches against Rublev and has won consecutive matches against the Russian, beating him at the 2023 Erste Bank Open and Miami Open, both in straight sets.
Sinner is 62-16 overall over the last 52 weeks, including 46-9 on hard courts.
Rublev into Australian Open Quarter-Finals for Second Consecutive Year
Rublev has never been to a grand slam semi-final and is a career 0-9 in grand slam quarter-finals. One would think something has to give eventually, but he’s in tough against Sinner who has found another gear in Australia and seems unbeatable. Rublev was playing well in last year’s Australian Open before running into Djokovic in the quarter-finals.
Rublev is 60-23 overall in his last 52 weeks, including 33-16 on hard courts. He won three titles last season, so it’s not as though he hasn’t been able to win – it’s just that he has historically come up shy in matches against top-ranked opponents in grand slams.
Updates
Neither player has any injury concerns. Rublev has been on the court nearly three hours longer than Sinner, so fatigue could come into play if this goes beyond four sets.
Jannik Sinner vs Andrey Rublev Betting Preview
Sinner is the betting favorite in the Sinner vs. Rublev betting analysis with -400 moneyline odds. The match handicap is -5.5 (-120) for Sinner, while the tennis odds for total games is 37.5. Rublev is a +300 underdog.
Jannik Sinner vs Andrey Rublev Betting Prediction
Sinner has been playing better than perhaps any player in Australia and seems poised for a semi-final matchup against Djokovic. He may finally lose a set, but expect him to get past Rublev.
- Pick: Sinner -400
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