Braves vs. Angels Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

The Atlanta Braves (67-36) and Los Angeles Angels (55-51) square off on Monday at 7:20 PM ET, beginning a three-game series at Truist Park.

The Angels are an underdog away (+190) versus the Braves (-228). The over/under in the game is 10 total runs.

The betting trends in the article below reference odds valid as of July 31, 2023 at 1:12 AM ET. Ready to bet?

Braves vs Angels Betting Lines

Braves Betting Insights

• The Braves have been favorites in 90 games this season and won 59 (65.6%) of those contests.
• Atlanta has a record of 16-6, a 72.7% win rate, when favored by -228 or more by bookmakers this season.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 69.5% chance of a victory for the Braves.
• So far this season, Atlanta and its opponents have hit the over in 55 of 103 games with a total.
• The Braves are 53-50-0 against the spread in their 103 chances this season.

Braves Last 10 Games Trend

Angels Betting Insights

• The Angels have come away with 22 wins in the 46 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This will be the worst odds to win that sportsbooks have assigned Los Angeles this season with a +190 moneyline set for this game.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Angels have a 34.5% chance of pulling out a win.
• Los Angeles’ games have gone over the total in 52 of its 106 opportunities.
• The Angels have posted a record of 52-54-0 against the spread this season.

Angels Last 10 Games Trend

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Braves Probable Pitcher – Charlie Morton

• Morton’s team is 9-11-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
• The right-hander’s last appearance was on Tuesday, when he threw 3 2/3 innings against the Boston Red Sox, giving up four earned runs while allowing six hits.
• In 20 starts this season, Morton has lasted five or more innings 18 times, with an average of 5.7 innings per appearance.
• He has made 20 appearances and finished four of them without allowing an earned run.
• Morton’s team has a record of 10-9 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
• In games Morton has started, his team is 11-9.
• Games Morton has started this season hit the over 10 times in 20 chances.

Braves Relief Pitchers

Angels Probable Pitcher – Griffin Canning

• Canning makes the start for the Angels, his 17th of the season. He is 6-4 with a 4.46 ERA and 91 strikeouts over 84 2/3 innings pitched.
• The righty’s most recent time out came on Tuesday against the Detroit Tigers, when he tossed five innings, surrendering two earned runs while giving up seven hits.
• Canning will aim to pitch five or more innings for his third straight start. He’s averaging 5.3 frames per outing.
• He has had two appearances this season that he kept his opponents to zero earned runs.
• The Angels have a 6-4 record in Canning’s 10 starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
• Canning’s team has a 10-6 record in his starts this season.
• Canning has started 16 games with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in seven of them.

Angels Relief Pitchers

Braves Hitting Trends

• The Braves are 42-14 this season in games when they hit at least two bombs.
• Atlanta has gone 27-3 in its 30 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
• The team is 51-21 in the games this season it has strung together at least eight hits.
• Atlanta is 53-11 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
• The Braves are 18-11 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Angels Hitting Trends

• They have won 31 of the 45 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
• Los Angeles has won 19 of its 26 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
• In 70 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 42-28.
• In 59 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 43-16.
• They have won 19 of their 31 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Braves vs. Angels Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Braves (-228)
Over/Under Pick: Under (10)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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