Buffalo Bills betting trends: Expect another big game from Isaiah McKenzie

Buffalo Bills kicked off American Thanksgiving with a 28-25 win over the Detroit Lions. Next on the schedule for Buffalo is a road game against the New England Patriots. The Patriots lost on Thanksgiving, dropping the nightcap to the Minnesota Vikings 33-26.

Isaiah McKenzie's two best games of the season have come against the Miami Dolphins and Detroit Lions. Miami's defense uses a lot of man coverage. The Patriots use the second-most man-to-man coverage in the league at 46.5%. McKenzie is better at beating man than zone because of his speed.

Josh Allen hasn't looked like himself recently because of an elbow injury. He hasn’t completed a pass longer than 40 yards in any of his last three games. His yards per attempt is also down. However, he has increased his rushing yards with 70 yards or more in two of the last 3 games, which is good news for the Bills.

Buffalo is 1-4 against the spread in its last five games. The Bills' last victory came against Cleveland Browns in Week 11. They are a 5-point favourite against New England in the Week 12. It's the smallest margin Buffalo has been favoured by since its Week 6 game against Kansas City Chiefs. Von Miller is out indefinitely with a knee injury.

Dawson Knox has had a disappointing season. He has 33 receptions for 327 yards and two touchdowns. The Patriots are ceding the second-most touchdowns to tight ends this season (eight). Buffalo Bills are the team to bet on in Week 13.

The Buffalo-New England game is a low total of 43.5 points. The over has hit in two of the last three games. Last week the over missed by 1. 5 points against the Lions. New England has played four games this season against offences ranking inside the top 12 in points per game. The under on this total has also hit three times.