Butler vs. St. John’s prediction + $1,000 promo code for BetMGM

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Butler and St. John’s meet in the first round of the 2023 Big East Tournament with Wednesday’s game tipping off at 3 p.m. ET at Madison Square Garden. St. John’s is the #8 seed in the bracket while Butler is the #1 seed. The winner will face the #1 seed Marquette on Thursday.

Both teams struggled throughout conference play this season. Butler had a 6-14 record against Big East opponents, while St. John’s finished with a 7-13 conference mark. Since mid-January, the Red Storm were actually the slightly better team on paper. They’ve gone 6-8 in the past 14 games and even pulled off upsets over UConn and Providence. Meanwhile, Butler is 3-9 in its last 11 matchups and lost four of its final five games of the regular season.

Butler and St. John’s split the regular season series against each other. The Red Storm beat the Bulldogs 77-61 back in January in the first meeting, with Butler getting revenge at home in early February with a narrow 68-66 victory. However, St. John’s was leading late in the second half, but failed to score in the final 3:50 of game time to ultimately lose.

This game is a major contrast in styles, and it should benefit St. John’s to build a lead like they did in both matchups against Butler earlier this season. The Red Storm play at the fastest tempo in all of college basketball while regularly trying to get out in transition to score quick and often. On the flip side, Butler ranks 280th in tempo nationally, and prefers to slow things down offensively. The Bulldogs also have the worst offensive efficiency in the Big East per KenPom.com and are averaging just 57.9 PPG over the past 12 games. That won’t cut it against a St. John’s team that can put up 80-90 points in any given game.

When betting on this matchup, it’s important to note how well St. John’s has performed as a favorite this season. The Red Storm are 8-1 against the spread (ATS) when favored by less than 10 points this season. That includes the earlier-season 16-point victory over Butler as small favorites. Meanwhile, the Bulldogs have not been strong as underdogs this season; they’re just 5-13 ATS as underdogs and only 3-11 ATS when getting less than 10 points as a dog.

Our experts suggest backing the Red Storm -5.5 for their Butler vs. St. John’s prediction with -110 odds at BetMGM Sportsbook.

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