Cardinals vs Pirates Prediction

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The St. Louis Cardinals will play the Pittsburgh Pirates in Game 2 of their series on Tuesday night at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Pittsburgh won the first game in this series by a score of 11-1 on Monday night. These two teams are battling for last place in the NL Central, which is currently being held by the Cardinals. 

Cardinals Preview

The St. Louis Cardinals are 55-71 this season and they have lost five of their last six games. St. Louis is coming off of a series loss to the Mets, where they lost three out of four games. The Cardinals have allowed quite a few runs recently, allowing at least seven runs in four of their last six games. The St. Louis pitching staff has a 4.65 ERA, a 1.44 WHIP, and a .274 opponent batting average this year. The Cardinals offense has scored 577 runs with a .257 batting average and a .332 on base percentage. Nolan Arenado is batting .281 with 26 home runs and 85 RBI’s for the Cardinals. The projected starting pitcher for St. Louis is Adam Wainwright, who is 3-8 with an 8.42 ERA and a 2.01 WHIP over 72.2 innings pitched this season. 

Pirates Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 56-69 this season and they have won two of their last three games. Pittsburgh is coming off of a series loss to the Twins, where they lost two out of three games on the road. The Pirates have been extremely inconsistent offensively, scoring 11, 0, 7, 1, 3, 7, and 2 runs in their last seven games. The Pittsburgh pitching staff has a 4.56 ERA, a 1.40 WHIP, and a .255 opponent batting average. The Pirates offense has scored 524 runs with a .235 batting average and a .314 on base percentage this season. Bryan Reynolds is batting .268 with 18 home runs and 60 RBI’s for the Pirates. The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Johan Oviedo, who is 6-13 with a 4.55 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP over 140.1 innings pitched this year. 

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Pittsburgh Pirates Team Facts

  • The Pirates have lost each of their last five games as favorites against National League opponents following a win.
  • The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games as favorites after playing the previous day.
  • The Pirates have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
  • The Pirates have led after 7 innings in each of their last four games against the Cardinals.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Pirates' last three night games at PNC Park.

St. Louis Cardinals Team Facts

  • The Cardinals have won each of their last four games as road underdogs against the Pirates following a road loss.
  • The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games at PNC Park.
  • The Cardinals have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last five games at PNC Park.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Cardinals' last five night games against NL Central opponents.
  • The Cardinals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five night games against opponents that held a losing record.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

  • Ke'Bryan Hayes has hit a home run in three of the Pirates' last six games against the Cardinals.
  • Johan Oviedo has recorded seven or more strikeouts in three of his four previous appearances in night games against NL Central teams that held a losing record.
  • Ke'Bryan Hayes has recorded two or more total bases in eight of his last nine appearances against the Cardinals.
  • Jack Suwinski has scored a run in seven of his last eight home appearances against the Cardinals after playing the previous day.
  • Andrew McCutchen has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances at PNC Park against opponents that held a losing record.

St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts

  • Tyler O'Neill has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances with the Cardinals as underdogs.
  • Nolan Arenado has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight appearances with the Cardinals as road underdogs against NL opponents.
  • Tommy Edman has scored at least one run in each of his last seven Tuesday night appearances against NL Central teams that held a losing record.
  • Adam Wainwright has recorded four or more strikeouts in seven of his last nine appearances with the Cardinals as road underdogs against NL Central opponents.
  • Willson Contreras has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine road appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Willson Contreras has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine road appearances after playing the previous day.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Pittsburgh Pirates ranks 26th in the league for home runs this season (123).
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates ranks 26th in the league for batting average this season (.235).
  • The St. Louis Cardinals ranks 29th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.274).
  • The St. Louis Cardinals ranks 4th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.331).

Pick

Pittsburgh absolutely dominated the Cardinals in Game 1 on Monday night and they will try to make it two in a row in the series in this matchup. The Cardinals pitching staff has really struggled and they will turn to Adam Wainwright, who has allowed 18 earned runs in his last three starts (10 IP). Pittsburgh is starting Johan Oviedo, who has allowed 10 earned runs in his last two starts (9 IP). Both pitchers have had plenty of issues recently and the Cardinals bullpen is towards the bottom of the MLB in ERA. Take the over here. 

David’s PickOver 9.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.