Celtics vs 76ers Game 4 picks, same-game parlay & player props to target

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Celtics vs 76ers Game 4 picks, same-game parlay & player props to target

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The Boston Celtics will aim to take a 3-1 series lead over the Philadelphia 76ers in Game 4 of their Round 2 NBA playoff series on Sunday. Tip-off is at 3:30 p.m. ET at Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia.

Following two straight victories in the series, oddsmakers have instilled Boston as 3-point road favorites over the 76ers in Game 4. The total is set at 214.5 points for a matchup featuring 2023 NBA winner Joe Embiid.

We’ve carved up a Celtics vs 76ers same-game parlay at +467 odds that takes advantage of key betting trends and player props value.

Boston is a -146 moneyline favorite in the Sunday NBA odds, meaning they have 59% implied win probability.

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Odds as of May 6 at FanDuel Sportsbook.

It isn’t hard to see why online sportsbooks are favoring a Boston Game 4 victory in the Sunday NBA odds. Joe Mazzulla’s team has won and covered the spread in back-to-back games following a surprising defeat in Game 1.

Furthermore, Boston has an impressive 10-3 record against the spread overall in their past 13 games. They’ve also been performing well straight up with a 9-3 moneyline record in their last 12 games.

When it comes to head-to-head trends, Boston has a clear edge over Philadelphia. The Celtics boast a 7-1 ATS record and a 6-2 SU record in the last eight head-to-head matchups. When playing on the road at Philadelphia, Boston’s record gets even better, going 4-1 ATS in their past five games.

Lastly, Boston’s performance in May has been solid, with a 5-2 SU record in their last seven games played during the month. On the contrary, the 76ers are just 1-4 ATS in their last five games played in May.

A key storyline from Game 3 is the disappointing performance of 76ers’ point guard James Harden. “The Beard” only mustered 16 points in the Game 3 defeat as he struggled with his shooting, going 3-of-14 from the field.

Harden exploded for 45 points in Game 1, however, and there’s potential for him to return to form at home Saturday. The veteran has shot just 17.9% on 28 field goal tries in the past two games, which is statistically the worst span of his career.

DraftKings Sportsbook is offering Harden’s player prop for points at 20.5. The 33-year-old has averaged 21 points per game this season, including a 44.1 FG%. The analytics suggest he’s due for some positive regression.

76ers’ star and 2023 NBA MVP winner Joel Embiid mentioned after the game that he told Harden to keep shooting and stay aggressive. With Philadelphia’s back up against the wall and free agency looming for Harden, the value is on the star shooting guard to respond.

When it comes to crafting a same-game parlay for Game 4, we want to take advantage of the best value in the NBA Playoff odds. Harden is a good bet to bounce back, as is the Celtics’ point spread. Boston covered the spread by 10 points last game, and they’ve proven to be the superior team in this series.

A Celtics player prop we recommend targeting is Al Horford Over 1.5 Three-Pointers Made, which is offered at -165 odds at FanDuel. Horford went 5-for-7 from behind the arc in Game 3 after only connecting on 2-of-12 from deep in the first two games.

Horford was among the NBA leaders in 3-point shooting percentage during the regular season, and his player props for Game 4 aren’t fully adjusted for him snapping out of his funk. His Game 4 player prop is 0.8 points less than his season average (2.3).

If you parlay the Celtics -3 spread, along with James Harden Over 20.5 Points and Al Harford Over 1.5 Three-Pointers Made, you can get +467 odds at FanDuel Sportsbook. A simple $10 wager would return $56.70 if successful.

Pick: Same-Game Parlay (+467)

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