Chelsea vs. Liverpool odds, picks and predictions

Chelsea and Liverpool battle in the final of the EFL Cup Sunday. Kickoff from Wembley Stadium is set for 10 a.m. ET. Below, we preview BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Chelsea vs. Liverpool odds, and make our best EPL bets, picks and predictions.

Chelsea opened EFL Cup play with a 2-1 win over AFC Wimbledon. They then took down Brighton, Blackburn and Newcastle United. In the semifinals, Chelsea beat Middlesbrough 6-2 on aggregate. They are 10-5-10 on the season, sitting 10th in the Premier League. On the EPL season, Chelsea is led in scoring by F Cole Palmer, who has 10 goals in 21 matches.

Liverpool sits atop the Premier League and has a 18-6-2 record throughout the 1st 26 games. They have a +38 goal differential as well. Liverpool beat Leicester City 3-1 in the 3rd round then took down Bournemouth and West Ham before beating Fulham 3-2 through 2 legs in the semifinals.

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Chelsea vs. Liverpool odds

BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 11:04 p.m. ET.

Chelsea vs. Liverpool picks and predictions

Prediction

Liverpool 1, Chelsea 1

LEAN DRAW (+270).

There’s far too much injury concern to bet on one side over the other.  Liverpool will be without 8 players and star forwards Darwin Nunez and Mohamed Salah may miss the match as well. Several key Reds players will be sidelined.

At full strength, Chelsea isn’t at the same level as Liverpool, but the Blues have played far better as of late. They have won 4 of their last 8 games throughout all competitions and 2 of their last 3. Chelsea is 0-1-1 against Liverpool this season.

With so much injury, expect a closer-than-expected match. Back DRAW (+270).

LEAN UNDER 2.5 (+120).

Throughout the season, Liverpool has proven to be among the best defensive teams in the EPL. The Reds have allowed 0.96 goals per game and haven’t allowed multiple goals in a single EFL match. Liverpool has allowed multiple goals in just 5 EPL matches.

Without many players on the offensive side and a strong defense, expect the Under to be the better play. Similarly, Chelsea has allowed multiple goals in just 2 of their last 10 games. They haven’t allowed 2 or more in 3 straight as well.

Considering both trends, take UNDER 2.5 (+120).

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