Aston Villa vs. Manchester City odds, picks and predictions
Aston Villa (9 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses) welcome Manchester City (9-3-2) to Villa Park Wednesday. Kickoff is set for 3:15 p.m. ET. Below, we preview BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Aston Villa vs. Manchester City odds, and make our best EPL bets, picks and predictions.
Aston Villa sit 4th on the English Premier League table, and Villa are a perfect 6-0-0 at home this season. They have tallied 33 goals (2.36 per game) yet allowed 20 (1.43 per game) through 14. F Ollie Watkins has been the main offensive weapon, totaling a team-high in both goals (8) and assists (6). Villa are coming off a 2-2 road draw against Bournemouth Sunday.
Man City also didn’t get the result they were hoping for this past weekend. City drew Tottenham 3-3 at home after leading for most of the game. They are 4-1-2 on the road this season. City are led by F Erling Haaland, who has 14 goals in 14 matches. Leading the league to start the season, City have drawn 3 straight matches and haven’t won a road game since Oct. 29.
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Aston Villa vs. Manchester City odds
BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 10:26 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline:
- Over/Under: 3.5 (O: +120 | U: -165)
Aston Villa vs. Manchester City picks and predictions
Prediction
Manchester City 2, Aston Villa 2
SPRINKLE DRAW (+320).
Simply put, City have played at the level of their opponent as of late. While Villa are without a signature win, they have taken down Chelsea and Tottenham, both on the road.
Both of those teams drew City within their last 3 games. City are the rightful heavy favorites, but they have 3 straight draws, all of which were to teams at the level of Villa.
Given Villa’s home strength, having yet to lose or even draw a game, take them to get some type of result when welcoming the reigning EPL Champs. Sprinkle DRAW (+320).
BET OVER 3.5 (+120).
City have been on an offensive tear as of late. In their last 8 games throughout all competitions, they have scored 3 or more in 7 of those. Five of those were EPL games, and City scored 4 or more in 2 of those 5. City have the pace and finesse to finish. Villa’s defense hasn’t performed well this season, so expect City to break through often.
However, City have also allowed 8 goals in their last 3 EPL matches. Villa have scored multiple goals in their last 3 league matches. They should be able to break through on a weaker-than-expected City defense.
Back OVER 3.5 (+120).
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