Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 9/30/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Saturday, September 30, 2023

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: Bally Sports Wisconsin

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (-110) Milwaukee (-106)

American Family Field is the site where the Milwaukee Brewers (90-69) will attempt to beat the Chicago Cubs (82-77) on Saturday. The moneyline on this contest has the Cubs at -110 and the Brewers are at -106. The total is 9. The men taking the mound will be Jordan Wicks and Freddy Peralta.

The Cubs have earned 263 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 191 balls out of the park. Chicago has a slugging percentage of .420 and have struck out 1,360 times, while being walked on 559 occasions. As a squad, the Chicago Cubs are putting up 5.1 runs per contest, which ranks them 6th in baseball. They have compiled 773 RBI's and 1,375 hits on the season, while their team batting average is at .255. They have 806 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .330.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.71 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.28. Cubs pitchers have given up 176 home runs and also 709 total runs (16th in MLB). Chicago has conceded 1,302 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) as well as 638 earned runs. The Cubs have a team ERA of 4.07 this year (13th in the league), and the staff has rung up 1,347 batters. They have walked 497 opposing players and their FIP is 4.16 as a unit on the campaign.

Cubs pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 132 times in addition to having 147 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 82 holds so far this year (15th in baseball). The Cubs relief pitchers have earned a save percentage of 60.7% and has come into the game in 139 save situations. They have 34 saves for the season and have not converted 22 of their 56 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 216 base runners on the year with 28.2% of those players crossed home plate. The Cubs have sent 498 relievers to the hill so far this season.

The Cubs have turned 69.5% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 12,684 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 14th in professional baseball. The Chicago Cubs have accumulated 4,228 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 1,463 assists and 90 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .984 which has them ranked 20th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 134 double plays.

Wicks has taken the hill for 33 innings and has accumulated 23 K's in his pro baseball career. Wicks (4-1 win-loss record in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.95 while he has gone up against 135 hitters in the majors. His earned run average is 3.00 (11 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.121. He has allowed 27 base hits (7.4 hits per 9 innings) and has had 10 walks.

Milwaukee has a total of 162 long balls so far this year as well as 682 runs batted in. They have hit 252 two-baggers, while taking a walk 575 times and scoring 714 runs. The Milwaukee Brewers have tallied an OBP of .319 and a batting average of .239 so far this year. The Brewers hold a slugging percentage of .385 and they score 4.49 runs per contest (17th in baseball). They have struck out on 1,382 instances (14th in the league) and have 1,265 base hits.

The Milwaukee pitching staff have given up 634 runs over the course of the season while holding an ERA of 3.70 (582 earned runs yielded). They have conceded 193 dingers and they relinquish 4.03 runs per 9 innings (1st in baseball). The Brewers hold a team WHIP of 1.184 and have a FIP of 4.21 as a unit for the year. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.90 (1,394 strikeouts against 482 free passes). They rank 1st in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,194.

Milwaukee has called on relievers to enter the game in 70 save opportunities and they have come away with 46 saves. They rank 10th in the league with a save rate of 65.7%, and they have sent 508 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the season. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 173 times in high leverage situations and on 118 occasions with runners on. Milwaukee relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 31.5% out of their 162 inherited base runners. With 171 save situations, the Brewers have recorded 100 holds and 24 blown saves.

The Milwaukee Brewers have gotten 116 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .987 (11th in MLB). The Brewers have recorded 1,385 assists, 77 errors and have a total of 4,245 putouts so far this season. In their 12,735 innings on the diamond, the Brewers have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 71.9% (1st in pro baseball).

During his career, Peralta has conceded 427 base hits while tallying 749 K's in 580 innings. Peralta (42-27 career mark) has a 3.83 ERA while surrendering 6.6 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered 247 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.125 and having a FIP of 3.5. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.31 and he has faced 2,405 opposing hitters during his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Chicago (-110)

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