Milwaukee Brewers vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 9/24/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds
Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs Miami Marlins
Date: Sunday, September 24, 2023
Location: loanDepot park in Miami, FL
TV: Bally Sports Florida
Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (-122) Miami (+102)
loanDepot park is the location where the Miami Marlins (79-75) will attempt to beat the Milwaukee Brewers (88-66) on Sunday. The odds on this game have the Brewers at -122 while the Marlins are priced at +102. The over/under has been set at 7. The pitchers taking the mound will be Freddy Peralta and Edward Cabrera.
As a unit, the Milwaukee Brewers are compiling 4.6 runs per outing, which ranks them 16th in MLB. They have earned 702 runs while having a team OBP of .319. The Brewers have tallied 239 doubles as a team and have hit 161 baseballs out of the park. They have accounted for 671 RBI's as well as 1,230 hits so far this year, while their batting average comes in at .240. Milwaukee is slugging .387 and have struck out 1,340 times, while drawing a walk on 562 occasions.
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The Brewers have compiled a team ERA of 3.72 on the season (2nd in the league), and their staff has struck out 1,350 hitters. Brewers pitchers have surrendered 188 home runs and also 617 runs (1st in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 463 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 4.22 as a unit on the campaign. Milwaukee has relinquished 1,150 hits (7.5 per 9 innings) as well as 567 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.92 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.18.
Brewers pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 116 times in addition to having 169 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 99 holds over the course of the season (3rd in the league). The Brewers relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 64.7% and has come into the game in 168 save situations. They have accumulated 44 saves over the course of the season and have blown 24 of 68 chances to get a save. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 159 runners this season with 32.1% of those runners earned a run for their team. The Brewers have sent 492 relief pitchers to the mound so far this year.
The Milwaukee Brewers have amassed 4,116 putouts this year, in addition to 1,341 assists and 73 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .987 which puts them in 11th in pro baseball, and have accumulated 107 double plays. The Brewers have converted 72.1% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 12,348 innings, ranking them 1st in pro baseball.
Peralta (42-26 career win-loss record) has a FIP of 3.49 while going up against 2,388 hitters in the majors. He has surrendered 418 base knocks (6.5 hits per 9 innings) with 226 free passes. His earned run average is 3.79 (243 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.115. Peralta has thrown 577 innings and has earned 745 strikeouts thus far in his career.
The Miami Marlins are sitting with a team on-base percentage of .315 and a team batting average of .258 for the year. They have struck out on 1,220 occasions (26th in MLB) and are sitting with 1,350 base hits. Miami has compiled 159 long balls so far this year as well as 607 RBIs. The Marlins have a SLG% of .405 and they are recording 4.14 runs per contest (26th in the league). They have tallied 247 doubles, while walking 403 times and putting up 638 runs.
The Miami pitching staff have surrendered 695 runs on the campaign while having an ERA of 4.26 (647 earned runs surrendered). They have surrendered 185 home runs and they surrender 4.58 runs per 9 innings (17th in baseball). The Marlins are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.293 in addition to having a FIP of 4.19 as a staff for the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 9.30 (1,406 strikeouts vs 491 walks). They are currently ranked 16th in MLB as a staff in total hits conceded with 1,276.
With 156 save situations, the Marlins have compiled 88 holds and also 28 blown saves. Miami has called on relievers to enter the contest in 67 save chances and they have come away with 39 saves. Their relief pitchers have come in 194 times in high leverage situations and also on 153 occasions with runners on base. Miami relievers have an inherited score rate of 28.6% out of 220 inherited runners. They are ranked 21st in MLB with a save percentage of 58.2%, and they have sent 514 relievers onto the field so far this year.
In 12,297 innings on the diamond, the Marlins have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 68.5% (21st in pro baseball). The Miami Marlins have turned 139 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .983 (24th in baseball). The Marlins have 1,350 assists, 93 errors and have earned a total of 4,099 putouts on the campaign.
In his MLB career, Cabrera has conceded 135 base knocks while totaling 213 K's in 189 innings. He has surrendered 85 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.312 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.8. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 1.88 and he has gone up against 804 hitters thus far in his career. Cabrera (12-14 career win-loss record) has earned a 4.05 earned run average while surrendering 6.4 hits per 9 innings.
Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Tony Sink's Pick: Take Milwaukee (-122)
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