Cleveland Guardians vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction 9-26-23 MLB Picks
The Cincinnati Reds and Cleveland Guardians clash Tuesday in game 1 of an MLB series at Progressive Field. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Reds need a win after losing 6 of their last 10 games. The Reds are 2.5 games out of the wild card race. The Reds pitching staff is 24th in ERA (4.78), 24th in WHIP (1.41) and 27th in quality starts (43). The Reds' offense is 12th in runs per game (4.72), 17th in batting average (.247) and 15th in homers (184). Spencer Steer leads the Reds with 152 hits and 83 RBI, while TJ Friedl and Tyler Stephenson have combined for 243 hits and 116 RBI. Hunter Greene gets the ball, and he is 4-6 with a 4.24 ERA and 143 strikeouts this season. This will be Greene’s first career game against the Guardians.
Cincinnati Reds Team Facts
The Reds have lost five of their last six games as favorites against AL Central opponents following a home win.
The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as favorites against AL Central opponents following a home win.
The Reds have lost the first inning in three of their last four games as road favorites against American League opponents.
The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Reds' last three games as road favorites.
The Reds have led after 5 innings in each of their last five night games against opponents that held a losing record.
Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview
The Guardians look for a win after splitting their last 10 games. The Guardians are 1 of 8 AL teams eliminated from playoff contention. The Guardians pitching staff is 7th in ERA (3.92), 18th in WHIP (1.29) and 12th in quality starts (56). The Guardians' offense is 27th in runs per game (4.09), 15th in batting average (.249) and 30th in homers (118). Steven Kwan leads the Guardians with 168 hits and 54 RBI, while Jose Ramirez and Andres Gimenez have combined for 303 hits and 141 RBI. Lucas Giolito gets the ball, and he is 8-14 with a 4.60 ERA and 195 strikeouts this season. Giolito is 0-1 with a 6.55 ERA and 12 strikeouts in his career against the Reds.
Cleveland Guardians Team Facts
The Guardians have won each of their last four games as home underdogs against the Reds.
The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Guardians' last 15 games.
The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Guardians' last five night games against National League opponents.
The Guardians have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five home games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
The Guardians have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six home games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Matchup/League Facts
The Cleveland Guardians rank 30th in the league for home runs this season (118).
The Cleveland Guardians rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (1104).
The Cincinnati Reds rank 1st in the league for steals this season (181).
The Cincinnati Reds rank 3rd in the league for triples this season (34).
Randy’s Pick
The Reds need to win this game if they're going to stay in the playoff race, and there's really no excuses. The Guardians are a joke offensively, they haven't been able to win consistently, and Lucas Giolito isn't scaring anybody with his 4.60 ERA and walk issue. Hunter Greene has control issues as well at times, but he's allowed 4 earned runs in his last 18.2 innings, and he can rack up the strikeouts. The Reds at this cheap price given they're still playing for something seems odd. Give me the Reds.
