Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 9-6-23 MLB Picks

The Minnesota Twins and Cleveland Guardians clash Wednesday in game 3 of an MLB series at Progressive Field. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Twins look for a win after winning 8 of their last 12 games. The Twins have a 7-game lead in the AL Central. The Twins pitching staff is 8th in ERA (3.96), 4th in WHIP (1.21) and 1st in quality starts (69). The Twins offense is 13th in runs per game (4.68), 21st in batting average (.243) and 5th in homers (199). Carlos Correa leads the Twins with 111 hits and 62 RBI, while Donovan Solano and Max Kepler have combined for 193 hits and 88 RBI. Joe Ryan gets the ball, and he is 10-8 with a 4.20 ERA and 166 strikeouts this season. Ryan is 3-2 with a 1.83 ERA and 34 strikeouts in his career against the Guardians.

Minnesota Twins Team Facts

• The Twins have lost each of their last seven day games against the Guardians following a road win.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line each of their last seven day games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Twins have lost the first inning in each of their last three Wednesday games as road favorites against AL Central opponents.
• The Twins have led after 5 innings in each of their last five Wednesday day games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Twins' last four games.

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

The Guardians look to snap a 3-game losing streak. The Guardians are 7 games back in the AL Central. The Guardians pitching staff is 10th in ERA (3.99), 18th in WHIP (1.30) and 13th in quality starts (49). The Guardians' offense is 27th in runs per game (4.07), 16th in batting average (.249) and 30th in homers (106). Steven Kwan leads the Guardians with 149 hits and 48 RBI, while Jose Ramirez and Josh Naylor have combined for 254 hits and 152 RBI. Gavin Williams gets the ball, and he is 1-5 with a 3.46 ERA and 68 strikeouts this season. This will be Williams’ second career game against the Twins.

Cleveland Guardians Team Facts

• The Guardians have won each of their last seven day games against the Twins at Progressive Field following a home loss.
• The Guardians have covered the run line each of their last eight Wednesday day games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Guardians have lost the first inning in each of their last four home games against AL Central opponents.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Guardians' last four games as home underdogs against AL Central opponents.
• The Guardians have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last five Wednesday games against opponents that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Cleveland Guardians ranks 30th in the league for home runs this season (106).
• The Cleveland Guardians ranks 2nd in the league for strikeouts against this season (991).
• The Minnesota Twins ranks 30th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1426).
• The Minnesota Twins ranks T1st in the league for strikeouts this season (1301).

Randy’s Pick

The Twins are starting to put a strangle hold on the AL Central, and it's hard to step in front of them against a Guardians side that just can't get out of their own way. The Guardians had their chances to make things interesting in September, but they've fallen on their face. Despite a 3.62 ERA in August through 27.1 innings, the Guardians lost 5 of the 6 games Gavin Williams pitched. Joe Ryan has been up and down in his own right, but this feels like two teams heading in different directions. Give me the Twins and the cheap price.