College Football Odds: Michigan State vs. Penn State prediction

Penn State is heading for a 10-2 season. The team's two losses were against Michigan and Ohio State. Penn State plays for the Land Grant Trophy on Saturday. Mel Tucker's team is winding down a brutal season under him. He got a lucrative extension and raise from Michigan State even though he had just one good season at the school. He has a lot to prove. If he wins, it could generate a little optimism for him heading into the offseason. It's a nicer to play in a New Year's Six bowl game than in the peripheral, lower-tier bowl games.

Michigan State was a 17-point underdog at Illinois and won outright. The Spartans can defend the pass and make big defensive plays. Penn State's offense is not airtight.

Michigan State lost at home to Indiana despite holding the Hoosiers under 10 passing yards.

Penn State's defense will smother the Michigan State offense. Michigan state will cover.

Michigan State is +19.5 to win against Penn State.