Colorado Rockies at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

The Colorado Rockies (12-21) and New York Mets (17-16) meet Saturday at Citi Field. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rockies vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mets lead 1-0

The Rockies lost 1-0 as +222 underdogs at the Mets Friday. Colorado entered the matchup on a 4-game win streak and had been averaging 7.75 runs/game during that stretch.

The Mets closed as -247 favorites in Friday’s win. OF Brandon Nimmo homered in the bottom of the 4th inning as New York ended a 3-game skid.

Rockies at Mets projected starters

LHP Austin Gomber vs. RHP Tylor Megill

Gomber (2-4, 7.57 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.68 WHIP, 4.6 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 through 27 1/3 innings.

• Last outing: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 12-4 win vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Sunday
• Career vs. Mets: 1-1, 2.40 ERA (15 IP, 4 ER), 11 H, 2 HR, 0 BB, 10 K in 2 starts

Megill (3-1, 4.11 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.44 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 through 30 2/3 innings.

• Last outing: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 4 K in 5-3 win vs. Atlanta Braves Monday
• First career start vs. the Rockies

Rockies at Mets odds

BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:27 a.m. ET.

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Rockies at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 4, Rockies 3

PASS.

New York (-225) is 35-17 in its last 52 games vs. teams with a winning percentage below .400. The Mets should win, but they’re being slightly overvalued on the moneyline. Bet the run line and/or total instead.

BET ROCKIES +1.5 (-110).

Colorado covered the run line Friday and should cover it again Saturday. The Rockies are 4-1 straight up in their last 5 games and should be able to keep this one close.

The Mets are 0-4 straight up in their last 4 games vs. left-handed starters and expecting them to win by multiple runs is a tough ask.

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BET UNDER 8.5 (+100).

The Under is 6-1 in Colorado’s last 7 games vs. right-handed starters and 13-3 in its last 16 on the road vs. teams with a winning record.

The Under has hit in New York’s last 4 home games vs. left-handed pitching and should hit again Saturday as both offenses continue to struggle.

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