Cleveland Guardians at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

The Cleveland Guardians (20-23) open a 3-game series on the road against the New York Mets (22-23) on Friday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p;m. ET at Citi Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting since 2019 season when Mets went 3-0

The Guardians are in the middle of a 6-game road trip. They beat the White Sox 3-1 on Thursday in the series finale, but lost lost the first 2 games. They are 6-8 in their last 14 games.

The Mets are in the middle of a 6-game homestand. They took 2 of 3 games from the Tampa Bay Rays, winning the last 2 games. They are coming off a 3-2 win on Thursday.

Guardians at Mets projected starters

RHP Cal Quantrill vs. RHP Carlos Carrasco

Quantrill (2-2, 3.97 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 4.6 K/9 in 45 1/3 innings.

• Guardians are 6-2 in his starts this season
• Has a 2.21 ERA over last 3 starts (20 1/3 IP)

Carrasco (0-2, 8.56 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.61 WHIP, 8 BB and 8 K in 13 2/3 innings.

• Coming off IL (elbow); 1st start since April 15
• Allowed 5 or more ER in 2 of 3 starts

Guardians at Mets odds

BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:13 a.m. ET.

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Guardians at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 4, Guardians 3

The Guardians are 11-11 on the road this season and have lost 6 of their last 8 road games. The Guardians have averaged 2.7 runs per game over their last 16.

The Mets are coming off 2 straight wins over the best team in baseball. Five of the Mets’ last 6 wins have been by 1 run.

BET METS (-155).

Both teams are among the league’s worst against the spread. The Guardians are 17-26 ATS while the Mets are 17-28 ATS.

PASS.

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As noted, the Guardians have averaged 2.7 runs per game over their last 16. They have been held to 3 or fewer runs in 12 of their last 16. The Mets have scored more than 4 runs only 3 times in their last 9 games.

BET UNDER 9 (-115).

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