Cowboys vs. Patriots odds, spread, line, time, prediction: 2023 NFL picks, Week 4 best bets from proven model
The New England Patriots (1-2) will visit the Dallas Cowboys (2-1) in a NFL Week 4 cross-conference matchup on Sunday. The Cowboys picked up their first loss of the year in Week 3, falling to the Arizona Cardinals, 28-16. Meanwhile, the Patriots notched their first win of the season, topping the New York Jets, 15-10. The Cowboys lead the all-time series 8-6 and have hit the over in two of three games this season.
Kickoff from AT&T Stadium in Dallas is set for 4:25 p.m. ET. The Cowboys are 6.5-point favorites in Patriots vs. Cowboys odds, while the over/under for total points is 43.5. Before making any Patriots vs. Cowboys picks, be sure to check out the NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer simulation model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 4 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 167-117 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 21-9 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has set its sights on Patriots vs. Cowboys and just revealed its picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Now, here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Patriots vs. Cowboys:
- Cowboys vs. Patriots spread: Dallas -6.5
- Cowboys vs. Patriots Over/Under: 43.5 points
- Cowboys vs. Patriots money line: Dallas -282, New England +231
- NE: Patriots are 1-2 against the spread in 2023
- DAL: Cowboys are 2-1 against the spread in 2023
- Cowboys vs. Patriots picks: See picks at SportsLine
- Cowboys vs. Patriots live stream: fubo (try for free)
Why Cowboys can cover
The Cowboys have a well-rounded and explosive offensive unit. Dallas is 11th in the league in total offense (354.3) and eighth in rushing (147). Running back Tony Pollard is leading the way on the ground. Pollard is very elusive and shifty in the open field with plenty of quickness. The 2022 Pro Bowler is leading the team in carries (62), rushing yards (264), and touchdowns (two). In Week 3, Pollard had 23 carries for 122 yards.
Quarterback Dak Prescott has complete command of the offense with plenty of velocity on his throws. The Mississippi State product has completed 67% of his passes for 647 yards and three passing touchdowns. In Week 2 versus the New York Jets, Prescott went 31 of 38 for 255 yards and two passing scores. Dallas has scored 30-plus points in two of the three games this season. See which team to pick here.
Why Patriots can cover
Bill Belichick's teams always have stout and solid defenses. This season is no different thus far with the Patriots ranked fifth in the NFL in both total defense (270.3) and pass defense (177). Safety Jabrill Peppers has been all over the field for this unit. Peppers has strong athleticism and instincts, racking up 19 total tackles, one tackle for loss, and one forced fumble. He's finished with at least six total tackles in every game this season.
Rookie cornerback Christian Gonzalez is off to a strong start. The Oregon product can play either man or zone coverage well. The 2023 first-round pick is tied for third on the team in total tackles (16) with one sack, one interception, and three pass deflections. On September 17 versus the Dolphins, Gonzalez had six tackles, one pass breakup, and one interception. See which team to pick here.
How to make Patriots vs. Cowboys picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Under the total, projecting the teams to combine for 42 points. The model also says one side of the spread is the better value. You can only get the model's pick at SportsLine.
