Cristina Bucsa vs Paula Badosa Pick

Paula Badosa vs Cristina Bucsa
April 20, 2023 9:00 am EDT
The Line: Cristina Bucsa +700 / Paula Badosa -1250
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Paula Badosa and Cristina Bucsa meet in the second round of the 2023 tennis Stuttgart Open. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

Paula Badosa is coming off a straight set win over Daria Kasatkina that took 14 games to decide. In the victory, Badosa won 75 percent of her first serve points and 53 percent of her second serve points. Badosa won 68 percent of her total service points and converted on 5 of her 9 break points. Badosa got 68 percent of her first serves in play and saved her only break point. Each of Badosa’s last 5 matches have been decided in straight sets. A massive victory for Badosa, and it’s her ninth career win over a top-10 player. Badosa has won 7 of her last 10 matches on clay court. 

Cristina Bucsa is coming off a 3 sets win over Tamara Korpatsch that took 25 games to decide. In the victory, Bucsa won 53 percent of her first serve points and 44 percent of her second serve points. Bucsa won 50 percent of her total service points and converted on 9 of her 17 break points. Bucsa got 65 percent of her first serves in play and saved 13 of her 19 break points. Bucsa dominated after dropping the first set and that includes winning the third set in 6 games. Bucsa has won each of her last 3 matches that have gone the distance. Bucsa has won 5 of her last 8 matches on clay court. 

Badosa won the only meeting against Bucsa, a 2019 match in ITF play. The match was decided in straight sets and 22 games.

Badosa’s recent effort should give you confidence to get behind her, as it was a solid performance. Bucsa fizzles out more times than not around this time, and her serve has been widely inconsistent. If Bucsa can’t serve consistently, she’s going to have a hard time pulling off the upset. 

Give me Badosa in straight sets to shave down the juice.