Davis Cup Semi Finals: Serbia vs Italy Odds, Picks and Prediction

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Davis Cup Semi Finals: Serbia vs Italy Odds, Picks and Prediction

The Davis Cup is one of the biggest international tennis events in the world. The 2023 Davis Cup Finals has been ongoing since early September with the top 16 teams in the world playing for the chance to win the prestigious tournament. The top two teams from the four groups of four countries advanced to the quarter-final stage, which began earlier this week in Valencia, Spain.

Serbia vs ItalyPicks
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  • Moneyline: Italy (+200)

Finland and Australia were playing in the first of the two semifinal matches on Friday. Finland, making its first semifinal appearance, beat defending champions Canada in the quarter-finals, while Australia beat the Czech Republic. Serbia, led by Nitto ATP Finals winner and world No. 1 Novak Djokovic, plays Italy in the second semifinal on Saturday. Let’s take a closer look at the Serbia vs. Italy odds and tennis predictions for the semifinal matchup.

Serbia vs Italy Odds

Serbia is the betting favorite with tennis odds of -275 to win the match. Italy is the betting underdog in Serbia vs. Italy odds with +200 moneyline odds. While most tennis events have other betting options, that isn’t the case for the Davis Cup as the three matches have yet to be confirmed.

Serbia vs Italy Information

Serbia vs Italy

Location of the game: Martin Carpena Arena in Málaga, Spain

Date & Time: Saturday, November 25 at 7 a.m. ET

How to Watch: Sportklub (Serbia), Sky Italia (Italy), and Tennis Channel

Serbia vs. Italy Betting Preview

Djokovic Must Win for Serbia

There’s no question Djokovic is the greatest tennis player of all time. He has the most impressive stats and tennis records and is still at the top of his game. He’s coming off of a season in which he won three of four Grand Slams, won the Nitto ATP Finals, and is the current world No. 1. It would be a tremendous season if he were able to elevate his Serbian national team to its first Davis Cup victory since 2010 and the second of his career.

Djokovic needs to win for Serbia to have a chance. He won his lone match in the three round-robin contests for Serbia, but the country’s other players went just 3-5 in the other eight matches and those wins all came against last-place South Korea. Dušan Lajović is set to face Lorenzo Musetti in the opening match, holding a 0-2 record against him in their career meetings.

Sinner pushed Djokovic to five sets at Wimbledon and secured a victory in the Nitto ATP Finals recently. The third and final match is expected to be a doubles showdown between Laslo Djere and Miomir Kecmanovic and Lorenzo Sonego and Simone Bolelli.

Why Italy Should Be Favored

Despite being the underdogs in tennis predictions, The Italians should actually be favored in the Italy vs. Serbia odds. Sinner is certainly capable of beating Djokovic and is playing the best tennis of his career. Musetti is 2-0 against Lajović and is well rested as he didn’t play Thursday against the Netherlands.

Sonego, meanwhile, went 3-1 in Group Stage matches and looked impressive in doubles action with Sinner against the Netherlands. Bolelli and Italy pose a formidable challenge for a chance to advance to the Davis Cup championship against Finland or Australia.

Australia is a formidable opponent and Finland is on an all-time run right now, reaching the Davis Cup semifinals for the first time in history, but the winner of Italy and Serbia has the best shot at winning the tournament.

Serbia vs. Italy Betting Picks

There have already been quite a few upsets in the Davis Cup and there’s no reason the Italians should be so much as +200 underdogs. Given the value and a genuine chance to win, betting on the underdogs in this match becomes difficult to resist.

  • Pick: Italy ML (+200).

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