Dolphins vs. Jets line, odds and predictions: Our experts like Miami to win on Black Friday

The Athletic
 
Dolphins vs. Jets line, odds and predictions: Our experts like Miami to win on Black Friday

The NFL’s first Black Friday game features two AFC East rivals that entered the season with lofty expectations — the New York Jets (4-6) and the Miami Dolphins (7-3). Fresh off of three-straight losses, the Jets will take the field as double-digit home underdogs. It’s another disappointing season in New York.

Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford. The game will air on Prime Video.

News and notes for Jets vs. Dolphins

  • All eyes are on the QB situation for the Jets. Coach Robert Saleh benched Zach Wilson and will start journeyman Tim Boyle. This move comes after Saleh replaced Wilson with Boyle late in the third quarter of last week’s 32-6 loss to the Bills. Boyle is 0-3 as a starter across his five seasons in the league, with all of those occurring in 2021 when he was with the Lions. Boyle has thrown three touchdown passes and nine picks in 18 total games in his career. Trevor Siemian will serve as Boyle’s backup with Wilson demoted to QB3, at least for now.
  • For all of the vitriol directed toward Wilson, the running game must bear some blame for the Jets’ offensive ineptitude. In the team’s four wins, the offense has averaged 138.2 rushing yards per game. That number is almost cut in half in the six losses, dropping to 74.2.
  • On the other side, Miami’s Tua Tagovailoa is currently second in the league in both passer rating (106.0) and touchdowns (21), and he’s third in yards (2,934). He has at least one touchdown pass in every game this season and has thrown multiple interceptions once. It also helps that Tagovailoa has been sacked 15 times in 10 games. Wilson has been sacked that many times in just his last three contests.
  • Dolphins WR Tyreek Hill has 1,222 receiving yards in 10 games, putting him on pace for 2,077, which would set a new single-season record. Calvin Johnson holds the mark with 1,964 in 2012 (16 games). The Jets have generated 1,995 receiving yards as a team for the season.
  • The Dolphins have won five of the past six meetings and hold a slim 58-56-1 advantage in the all-time series (including playoffs) against the Jets.

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All odds from BetMGM. Looking for NFL tickets? Buy them here.