Black Friday Dolphins vs. Jets odds, game, and player props, top sports betting promo code bonuses

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The NFL’s first Black Friday affair has more storylines than a full season of The Young and the Restless, with the AFC-leading Miami Dolphins visiting division rivals the New York Jets. The Jets have scored an average of eight points per game in their current three-game losing skid, while the Dolphins enter MetLife with a subpar 2-3 road record.

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Despite their AFC-East best 7-3 record, the Dolphins still have much to prove. For all their offensive dynamism and electrifying playmakers, the Dolphins are a bitterly disappointing 2-3 on the road and are 0-3 against teams with records above .500.

While the Dolphins won’t be able to improve its winless record against teams above .500 this week, they must beat the 4-6 Jets at MetLife to improve their record in hostile environments.

Miami’s analytics speak for themselves. Mike McDaniel’s team boasts the league’s top pass offense and the second-best rush attack while scoring the most points per game (30.5).

Compare that to the Jets’ primary stats, which make for gruesome reading. New York has the third-worst pass offense and run defense while scoring the third-fewest points per game (15). So it’s no surprise Robert Saleh has finally decided to demote Zach Wilson in favor of 29-year-old Tim Boyle.

While Boyle’s presence and Wilson’s absence will probably help galvanize the troops initially, the Jets’ new starter isn’t good enough to overcome the Dolphins’ litany of dangerous weapons.

The Dolphins are 4-0 when possessing the ball longer than their opponent, while the Jets have allowed an average time of possession of 32 min and 51 seconds this season, the NFL’s third-highest. That stat is telling, as the Dolphins will look to exploit New York’s woeful rush defense, thereby controlling the clock and field position.

The Jets are 0-4 when allowing 22 or more points this season, while the Dolphins are 1-3 when they fail to notch 22 points or more. Miami has failed to score 22 points in three of their previous four games. However, the Jets’ defense has allowed at least 27 points in two of their last three.

Look for the Dolphins to break the 22-point barrier, adding to the Jets’ misery while getting to the .500 mark on the road.

A few key factors to consider when backing Raheem Mostert to rush for 60 yards or more. First, with De’Von Achane still returning to his pre-injury form and fitness, Mostert will get the bulk of carries.

Second, Mostert has rushed for 60 yards or more in six of 10 games, including the last two. And third, McDaniel will understand acutely the importance of winning the time-of-possession battle and will lean on the run accordingly. The Jets have the league’s third-worst rush defense, allowing 137.6 yards per game.

Those factors should see Mostert reach at least 60 yards on the ground for the seventh time this season.

Like the rest of his teammates, Garrett Wilson endured a ghastly performance in Buffalo last week, catching two balls for a measly nine yards.

Despite being part of one of the league’s most unproductive pass units, Wilson is an elite playmaker and smashed through the 55-yard mark in seven of the nine games prior to last week’s forgettable outing, including four in a row.

Starting his first contest behind center, Boyle will want to settle his nerves quickly and throw to his most reliable target. While the new No. 1 quarterback will invariably throw a lot of screen passes to get up to speed, he’ll also look to Wilson to make some plays.

Finally, Miami’s pass defense is mediocre and ranks 14th, allowing 220.6 yards per game.

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