Georgia State vs. Georgia Southern odds, line: 2023 college football picks, Week 9 prediction by proven model
Georgia Southern will look to become bowl eligible and stay in the Sun Belt Conference East Division race when they face the Georgia State Panthers on Thursday night. The Eagles (5-2, 2-1 Sun Belt), who are 4-0 on their home field, are coming off a 38-28 win over Louisiana-Monroe on Saturday, a week after suffering a crushing 41-13 loss at James Madison in a key divisional matchup. The Panthers (6-1, 3-1 Sun Belt), who are already bowl eligible, have won two in a row after suffering a 28-7 loss to Troy on Sept. 30. Georgia State leads the all-time series 6-3.
Kickoff from Paulson Stadium is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Georgia Southern is averaging 32.3 points per game this season, while Georgia State is averaging 30.9. The Eagles are 1-point favorites in the latest Georgia State vs. Georgia Southern odds, while the over/under for total points scored is set at 62.5. Before making any Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State picks, be sure to check out the college football predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a stunning profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Georgia State vs. Georgia Southern and just revealed its picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine to see the model's CFB picks. Here are several college football odds and trends for Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State:
- Georgia State vs. Georgia Southern spread: Georgia Southern -1
- Georgia State vs. Georgia Southern over/under: 62.5 points
- Georgia State vs. Georgia Southern: Georgia State -101, Georgia Southern -119
- GSTU: The Panthers have hit the first half money line in 10 of their last 12 games (+10.50 units)
- GS: The Eagles have hit the game total Under in eight of their last 12 games (+3.60 units)
- Georgia State vs. Georgia Southern picks: See picks at SportsLine
- Georgia State vs. Georgia Southern live stream: fubo (try for free)
Why Georgia Southern can cover
The Eagles have a solid receiving corps, led by senior wide receiver Khaleb Hood. The fifth-year veteran leads the team with 57 catches for 590 yards (10.4 average) and three touchdowns. He is coming off an eight-catch, 98-yard effort in Saturday's win over Louisiana-Monroe. His best game was a 12-reception, 131-yard and one touchdown performance in a 38-28 win over Coastal Carolina on Sept. 30. Hood had a career-best 87 catches for 925 yards (10.6 average) and three touchdowns last season.
Junior Derwin Burgess Jr. is also off to a fast start to the season. He has 44 receptions for 466 yards (10.6 average) and four TDs in 2023, and had four catches for 72 yards (18.0 average) and one touchdown on Saturday. His best game so far this year was an eight-catch, 124-yard effort at Wisconsin on Sept. 16. He was among the team leaders in receiving in 2022 as well, notching 58 receptions for 717 yards (12.4 average) and seven touchdowns. See which team to back here.
Why Georgia State can cover
Senior quarterback Darren Grainger is off to the best start of his career. He has completed 130 of 187 passes (69.5%) for 1,632 yards and 10 touchdowns, with just two interceptions and a rating of 158.3. He is also the Panthers' second-leading rusher, carrying 79 times for 368 yards (4.7 average) and five touchdowns. His best game was in a 41-25 win at Charlotte on Sept. 16. In that game, he completed 27 of 33 passes (81.8%) for 466 yards and three scores. He also rushed 10 times for 23 yards and one TD.
Powering the Georgia State ground attack is senior running back Marcus Carroll. In seven games, he has surpassed 100 yards rushing five times, including a season-high 184 yards and three touchdowns in a 42-35 win over Rhode Island on Aug. 31. He is coming off a 110-yard performance on 26 carries (4.2 average) in a 20-17 win at Louisiana on Saturday. For the season, Carroll has carried 169 times for 852 yards (5.0 average) and 10 touchdowns, and has 13 receptions for 146 yards (11.2 average). See which team to back here.
How to make Georgia State vs. Georgia Southern picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Under on the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 57 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time. You can only see the model's picks at SportsLine.
