Giants vs Angels Prediction, Picks, Odds

Between Logan Webb and Patrick Sandoval, this series-opening contest between the Giants and Angels is expected to provide some quality pitching. Find out where the value lies in our MLB betting picks and predictions below.

The Los Angeles Angels could use a win in the worst way after dropping each of their last six games. They’ll look to do just that as they host a three-game series with the San Francisco Giants beginning Monday night at Angel Stadium.

The visiting side is a slight favorite when looking at MLB odds, but they’re also looking to get off the schneid after dropping back-to-back games to the Oakland A's.

Looking at this starting pitching matchup, my eye is on the total for Game 1. Read on for my best bet and full MLB betting picks below.

Giants vs Angels odds

Giants vs Angels predictions

Monday’s Game 1 will be a starting pitching matchup between Logan Webb and Patrick Sandoval. Allow me to explain why a productive day at the office could be in store for both parties. 

Let’s start with Sandoval, a 26-year-old southpaw who posted an impressive 2.91 ERA a year ago and has regressed slightly this season while remaining a quality arm. His matchup is simply divine tonight. 

The San Francisco Giants have been brutal against left-handed pitching this season, ranking 28th in wRC+ (85) and 27th in wOBA (.295). They’ve managed to take those numbers and somehow make them worse recently, ranking dead last in the MLB with a 54 wRC+ and .248 wOBA against southpaws since mid-July. 

Webb is San Francisco’s ace and continues to pump out productive seasons. After sporting a 3.03 ERA in 2021 and a 2.90 ERA in 2022, he’s up just a tad with a 3.45 ERA this season. 

He’s remained effective, however, and his 2.96 xFIP is the second-lowest figure of his career. The 6-foot-1 hurler is fantastic at limiting walks (4.3% BB-rate) while still possessing swing-and-miss stuff (81st percentile chase rate). 

He gets a decent matchup against a falling Los Angeles Angels team that has lost six straight games and eight of their last 10 overall. The Halos just haven’t been anything special at the plate lately, posting a 96 wRC+ and .311 wOBA against right-handed pitching across their last 10 days. 

The Giants have been an Under team for much of the season, sporting a 46-63 O/U record. Both teams have been Under machines lately — San Francisco is 2-8 O/U across its last 10 games while the Halos are 2-7-1 O/U. That’s good for a combined 4-15-1 O/U.

I’ll back that trend to continue by playing the Under as Monday’s best bet. 

My best bet: Under 8.5 (-110 at FanDuel)

Giants vs Angels same-game parlay

Under 8.5 (-110)

Logan Webb to record 7+ strikeouts (+118)

Patrick Sandoval to record 5+ strikeouts (-245)

First-fiving Under 4.5 (-128)

The first leg of my SGP featured my best bet from above — Under 8.5 for the full game total. 

I’ll go ahead and add both starting pitchers to be successful in garnering punchouts, respectively. Logan Webb is plus money (+118) to notch 7+ strikeouts but I think he has a good chance to hit that number considering how punchout-prone the Halos have been lately. They’ve notched an obscene 28.8% K-rate against right-handed pitching in their last 10 games.

As for Sandoval, I’ll attack his alternative strikeout prop line and bet on him recording 5+ punchouts. The Giants have been miserable hitting lefties and have a 25.1% K-rate against southpaws since mid-July. 

Considering I forecast a successful day for both starting pitchers, the fourth and final leg featured the Under 4.5 for the first five innings. This is a correlated play and brings the final SGP odds out to +427 at FanDuel. 

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Giants vs Angels moneyline and Over/Under analysis

San Francisco is currently a slight favorite between -115 and -125, depending on the book. The best comeback available on the home team is +106. Make sure you shop around using our MLB odds tool to grab the best price available. 

San Francisco is in decent form, winning six of its last 10 games. Kapler’s squad has also gotten the best of this matchup in recent memory, taking seven of the last 10 meetings against the Angels. That includes a 6-1 run across the last seven games. 

I understand the Giants being a slight favorite considering the Angels are in a bad rut. Still, I can’t bring myself to lay any kind of juice on this team when facing a left-handed starting pitcher considering how miserable they’ve been lately against them. 

The Giants suffered an embarrassing two-game mini-sweep at the hands of the lowly Oakland A's most recently, so it’s difficult to have much confidence in either side at current. 

Those defeats put them four full games behind the Dodgers in the NL West race. Kapler’s squad is now tied with the Phillies atop the Wild Card standings. 

Things are looking pretty bleak for the Angeles, however, who are now seven games back in the AL Wild Card and are essentially out of the mix in the AL West race. Their most recent series was a four-game sweep at the hands of the Mariners, which really didn’t help the Halos’ chances in either race. 

The total is currently set at 8.5 across most books, although 8 is also available. As mentioned above in this article, I do like the Under — and I’d play it down to a flat 8.

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Trend to know

The Giants are 21-34-2 O/U at home this season. Find more MLB betting trends for Giants vs Angels

Giants vs Angels game info

Starting pitchers

Logan Webb (9-9, 3.45 ERA): San Francisco’s ace is as consistent as they come, and his 3.57 xERA and 3.37 FIP don’t differ much at all from his actual ERA. He lasted seven innings in his last start, surrendering two earned runs on four hits and a walk while striking out five batters in the win. He does have some notable home-road splits with a 4.75 ERA in away games.

Patrick Sandoval (6-8, 4.11 ERA): Sandoval is in fine form after allowing six combined earned runs across his last four starts. The lefty sports a 4.35 xERA and 4.07 FIP in what’s been a decent if also slightly disappointing campaign after he notched a stellar 2.91 ERA a year ago. His 18.6% K-rate is the lowest figure of his career while his 10% BB-rate is a bit of a concern.