Giants vs. Brewers Expert Pick & Prop Bet 5/28/23

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Milwaukee Brewers and the Giants on Sunday, May 28th at American Family Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Giants vs. Brewers Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

San Francisco Giants: 27-25 SU / OU 24-26 / Runline 26-26Milwaukee Brewers: 27-25 SU / OU 23-28 / Runline 24-28

On a record of 27-25, the Giants are 3rd in the NL West. Currently, they are 4.5 games out of the division lead. Against the Brewers, they will be seeking their 4th straight win. On the road, they have a record of 12-14 while going 15-11 at home. San Francisco’s overall series record is 7-8-1.

• The Giants have covered the runline in three straight games and have a season-long run margin of 0.0.
• The Giants have been favored in 44.2% of their games and have runline records of 13-13 and 13-13 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Giants have an over/under record of just 24-26.

Against the Giants, the Brewers are looking to shake a three two game losing streak. Yet, their record of 27-25 is stil good for 1st in the NL Central. At home, Milwaukee has gone 15-12 and 12-13 on the road. So far, their overall series record is 8-8.

• The Brewers have three straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of -0.4.
• The Brewers have been favored in 55.8% of their games and have runline records of 11-16 and 13-12 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Brewers have an over/under record of just 23-28.

Pitching Matchup

San Francisco starter Alex Cobb enters with an overall record of 4-1 and ERA of 2.17. His ERA on the road is 2.70 and 2.58 when pitching at home. Cobb’s season-long WHIP comes in at 1.31 with a batting average allowed of .267. Opposing teams have put together a slugging percentage of .375 against him.

San Francisco is hoping that Alex Cobb can help guide them to another win, as they defeated the Twins (4-3) the last time he pitched. He finished the game with three earned runs on six hits across seven innings.

Milwaukee starter Colin Rea enters with an overall record of 1-3 and ERA of 4.71. His ERA on the road is 4.43 and 6.82 when pitching at home. Rea’s season-long WHIP comes in at 1.27 with a batting average allowed of .240. Opposing teams have put together a slugging percentage of .411 against him.

The last time Colin Rea took the mound, he gave up zero runs on four hits to the Astros. Rea picked up the win, in the Brewers’ 6-0 victory.

Giants vs. Brewers Offense Outlook

The Giants have played 52 games so far and are ranked 17th in the league with an average of 4.5 runs per game. Their home runs rank is 6th (72) and their overall batting average stands at .245. This includes a BA of .236 on the road and .239 at home.

San Francisco Giants Top Hitters vs. Righties

San Francisco Giants Top Hitters: Last Five Games

After 52 games played, the Brewers are 25th in the league with an average of 4.0 runs per game. In terms of home runs, the club is 12th, on a total of 62 homers. The team’s overall batting average, including .236 on the road and .222 at home, is .232.

Milwaukee Brewers Top Hitters vs. Righties

Milwaukee Brewers Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Free MLB Pick

We’ve got some nice variables going for us today, as well as a nice low price of -120! The Giants have won their last three games in a row and ten of their last twelve. Their pitching has been awesome, as they’ve only allowed 3 runs or more in one of their last six games. They’ll send Alex Cobb to the mound, who has a sparkling 1.82 ERA over his last four outings.

The Brewers have been slipping. They’ve only managed to put up TWO runs over their last 27 innings. The team has lost three in a row and seven of their last ten games. They’ll feature Colin Rea, who is average at best and consistently puts up a mid-to-high 4’s ERA from month to month. In the handful of games I’ve watched Rea pitch live, it’s my opinion that he gets a little bit too much of the plate at times. More importantly, when you look at his splits, he’s consistently gotten hammered in day games over the course of his career, with a career ERA of well over 6 in the daylight. This isn’t some random occurence either, this is over five seasons.

I’ll also be placing a lunch money bet on Michael Conforto to hit a home run. The power hitting lefty has gone yard seven times in the last 18 days and has a swing/launch angle that matches up perfectly with how Rea throws.

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