Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres Free Pick & Analysis 4/15/23

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the San Diego Padres and the Brewers on Saturday, April 15th at PETCO Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Brewers vs. Padres Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Milwaukee Brewers: 10-4 SU / OU 6-8 / Runline 9-5San Diego Padres: 7-8 SU / OU 7-8 / Runline 6-9

The Brewers take on the Padres in the middle of a two game winning streak and are leading the NL Central on an overall record of 10-4. So far, they are 5-3 on the road and 5-1 at home. Milwaukee’s overall series record stands at 3-1.

• The Brewers have covered the runline in two straight games and have a season-long run margin of 2.4.
• The Brewers have been favored in 50.0% of their games and have runline records of 4-2 and 5-3 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Brewers have an over/under record of just 6-8.

Heading into their game vs. the Brewers, the Padres have a record of 7-8 and have dropped three straight games. In the NL West, they are in 3rd place and have an overall series record of 1-1. At home, they have gone 3-5 and 4-3 on the road.

• The Padres have three straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of -0.5.
• The Padres have been favored in 60.0% of their games and have runline records of 2-6 and 4-3 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Padres have an over/under record of just 7-8.

Pitching Matchup

Starter Freddy Peralta comes in with an overall record of 2-0 for the Brewers. Having made two appearances, his ERA is .75 and he has a K/9 figure of 1.2. Additionally, he has a FIP of 2.55 and an OBP of .250.

A quality start and a win were added to Freddy Peralta’s record in his previous outing against the Cardinals. The Brewers went on to win by a score of 6-1. Peralta allowed one run and four hits during six innings.

The Padres will turn to starter Seth Lugo who has an overall record of 2-0. After two appearances, his ERA is 1.39 and he has a K/9 figure of 0.9. ALso, he has compiled a FIP of 3.46 and an OBP of .260.

The last time Seth Lugo took to the mound, he secured a quality start and a win for his team, who won by a final score of 10-2 against the Braves. Lugo gave up one run and five hits across six innings.

Brewers vs. Padres Offense Outlook

The Brewers have proven to be one of the best home run hitting teams this season, having hit 20 home runs (6th). In terms of overall run production, Milwaukee is averaging 5.2 runs per game on collective batting average of .267. At home, their slugging perfectage is .514 compared to .364 on the road.

Milwaukee Brewers Team Hitting Stats

Milwaukee Brewers Top Hitters: Last Five Games

The Padres are making their mark in the power department with a total of 20 home runs (6th). They are currently averaging 4.1 runs per game overall, with a collective batting average of .228. When playing on the road, their slugging percentage is .367 compared to .428 at home.

San Diego Padres Top Hitters vs. Righties

San Diego Padres Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Free MLB Pick

The Milwaukee Brewers are 10-4! San Diego is 1-4 in their last five games and have averaged less than 2 runs per game in those four losses. Wrong team favored! I’m betting the Brew Crew at +105.

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