Heat vs. Nets Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets

The Miami Heat (40-34) are a 5.5-point favorite against the Brooklyn Nets (39-34) on March 25, 2023. The game features an over/under of 222.

Heat vs. Nets Odds

• Heat odds to win: -217
• Nets odds to win: +180
• Spread: Heat (-5.5)
• Total: 222

Heat vs. Nets Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

• When: Saturday, March 25, 2023 at 8:00 PM ET
• Where: FTX Arena in Miami, Florida
• TV: BSSUN and YES

Who Will Win Heat vs. Nets?

Heat and Nets Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

In games this season they were favored by 5.5 points or more, the Heat have a 4-14-1 record against the spread.

The Nets have a 10-3 record against the spread this season when an underdog by 5.5 points or more.

These two teams average 222.6 points per game combined, 0.6 more than the total of 222.

Opponents of the two teams average a combined 0.6 more points per game, 222.6, than this matchup’s over/under of 222 points.

The average over/under the Heat have had set in games this year is 3.1 fewer points than this outing’s point total.

The average over/under for Brooklyn’s games this year is 4.2 more points than the point total of 222 for this outing.

So far this season, Miami has put together a 27-43-4 record against the spread.

The Nets are 39-34-0 against the spread this year.

Heat Stats & Insights

The Heat have a -29 scoring differential, putting up 109.3 points per game (30th in the league) and giving up 109.7 (second in the NBA).

The Heat lose the rebound battle by 1.1 boards on average. They collect 40.8 rebounds per game, which ranks 28th in the league, while their opponents grab 41.9 per contest.

Miami hits 11.7 three-pointers per game (18th in the league) at a 34.1% rate (26th in the NBA), compared to the 13.2 per outing its opponents make while shooting 37% from beyond the arc.

The Heat rank 25th in the NBA with 109.9 points scored per 100 possessions, and eighth in the league defensively with 110.1 points conceded per 100 possessions.

In 2022-23, the Heat’s offense has been better at home, where they score 111 points per game, compared to road games, where they average 107.5 per game. On the defensive side of the ball, they have been slightly tougher in home games, where they concede 109.4 points per game, versus on the road, where they allow opponents to score 109.9 per game.

Nets Stats & Insights

The Nets score 113.3 points per game (18th in NBA) and allow 112.9 (14th in league) for a +29 scoring differential overall.

Brooklyn loses the rebound battle by 4.7 boards on average. It records 40.3 rebounds per game, 29th in the league, while its opponents pull down 45.

The Nets hit 12.7 three-pointers per game (10th in the league), while their opponents have made 12.1 on average.

The Nets rank sixth in the NBA with 114.3 points scored per 100 possessions, and 18th defensively with 112.4 points conceded per 100 possessions.

In 2022-23 Brooklyn is averaging 0.2 more points per game at home (113.4) than away (113.2).

Heat Key Players to Watch

Bam Adebayo averages 21 points, 9.3 rebounds and 3.3 assists per game.

Jimmy Butler’s averages this season are 22.9 points, 6.1 rebounds and 5.1 assists per game.

The Heat get 3.1 three-pointers per game out of Tyler Herro.

Butler averages 1.9 steals per game, while Adebayo has 0.9 blocks per contest.

Nets Key Players to Watch

Mikal Bridges racks up 19.3 points per game. He also adds 4.4 rebounds per outing and 3.3 assists per contest.

Nicolas Claxton has per-game averages of 12.5 points, 1.8 assists and 9.2 rebounds this season.

Spencer Dinwiddie averages 2.4 made threes per game.

The Nets’ defensive effort gets a boost from Bridges (1.1 steals per game) and Claxton (2.5 blocks per game).

• Pick ATS: Nets (+ 5.5)
• Pick OU:

  Over (222)
  

• Prediction:
  Heat 113 – Nets 110