Nets vs. Heat Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets

The Brooklyn Nets (16-22) are favored by 2 points against the Miami Heat (23-16) on Monday, January 15, 2024 at 7:30 PM ET. The matchup airs on YES. The point total for the matchup is set at 217.5.

Nets vs. Heat Odds

How to Bet on Nets vs. Heat

Game Time and Information

Who Will Win Nets vs. Heat?

Nets and Heat Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

In games this season they were favored by 2 points or more, the Nets have a 7-5 record against the spread.

In games this year in which they were an underdog by 2 points or more, the Heat have a 7-8 record against the spread.

Between them, these two teams average 9.4 more points per game (226.9) than this game’s total (217.5).

Brooklyn and Miami have seen its opponents average a combined 9.9 more points per game than the over/under of 217.5 set for this matchup.

The average total the Nets have had in their matchups this year is 13.5 more points than this particular game’s point total.

The average over/under for Miami’s games this year is 5.8 more points than the point total of 217.5 for this outing.

Brooklyn’s ATS record is 19-18-1 this season.

So far this year, the Heat have compiled a 19-19-1 record against the spread.

Nets Stats & Insights

The Nets average 114.6 points per game (18th in the league) while giving up 116.4 per contest (17th in the NBA). They have a -70 scoring differential overall and have been outscored by 1.8 points per game.

The Nets win the rebound battle by 2.4 boards on average. They record 46.7 rebounds per game, which ranks second in the league, while their opponents pull down 44.3 per contest.

Brooklyn knocks down 13.6 three-pointers per game (eighth-most in the league) at a 36.7% rate (16th in the NBA), compared to the 14.2 its opponents make while shooting 38.4% from beyond the arc.

The Nets rank 15th in the NBA with 117.0 points scored per 100 possessions, and 23rd in the league defensively with 118.9 points conceded per 100 possessions.

In the 2023-24 season, the Nets score 4.6 more points per home game on average than on the road (116.9 at home, 112.3 on the road), but are allowing 4.8 fewer points per home game compared to road games (114.0 at home, 118.8 on the road).

Heat Stats & Insights

The Heat have a +50 scoring differential, topping opponents by 1.3 points per game. They’re putting up 112.3 points per game, 25th in the league, and are giving up 111.0 per outing to rank second in the NBA.

Miami records 41.5 rebounds per game (25th in league), compared to the 42.4 of its opponents.

The Heat connect on 12.7 three-pointers per game (16th in the league) compared to their opponents’ 13.2. They shoot 38.5% from deep, and their opponents shoot 36.1%.

The Heat’s 116.1 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 18th in the NBA, and the 114.8 points they concede per 100 possessions rank 11th in the league.

At home Miami is scoring 115.5 points per game, 6.2 more than it is averaging away (109.3).

Nets Key Players to Watch

Mikal Bridges is a key contributor on the scoresheet for the Nets, tallying 21.2 points per game to go with 5.2 rebounds and 3.7 assists.

Spencer Dinwiddie contributes with 13.8 points, 6.3 assists and 3.8 rebounds a game, and Nicolas Claxton adds 12.2 points, 1.8 assists and 9.9 rebounds per contest.

Dorian Finney-Smith leads active Nets in three-point shooting, knocking down an average of 2.3 shots per game from beyond the arc.

Bridges averages 0.8 steals per game, while Claxton swats 2.4 shots per contest.

Heat Key Players to Watch

Bam Adebayo holds the top Heat spot in two categories among active players: scoring (22.1 points per game) and rebounding (10.3 rebounds per game). He also has 4.2 assists per contest.

Kyle Lowry has per-game averages of 8.9 points, 4.0 assists and 3.6 rebounds this season.

Duncan Robinson hits 3.0 threes per game.

Jaime Jaquez Jr.’s 1.1 steals and Adebayo’s 1.0 block per game are key to the Heat’s defensive production.

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