Heat vs. Pistons Predictions, Best Bets and Odds

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Heat vs. Pistons Predictions, Best Bets and Odds

The Miami Heat (36-30) take on the Detroit Pistons (12-54) as 6.5-point favorites on Sunday, March 17, 2024 at 3:00 PM ET on BSDE. The matchup has an over/under set at 215 points.

If you are aiming to make an informed wager on Sunday’s game, see the best bets available in this matchup, in the article below (based on our computer predictions).

How to Bet on Heat vs. Pistons

Pick the Heat (-6.5) to Cover

  • Against the spread, the Heat are 32-32-2 this season.
  • The Pistons are 33-32-1 against the spread this year.
  • So far this season, the Heat have been installed as favorites by a 6.5-point margin or more 14 times and are 6-8 ATS in those contests.
  • This season, the Pistons have an ATS record of 24-23-1 in their 48 games as an underdog of 6.5 points or more.
  • Take the Points Over (215)

  • This year, the Heat games have finished over 215 points scored, their current matchup’s point total, 42 (out of 66) times.
  • A total of 53 Pistons games this season (out of 66) have gone over 215 total points scored.
  • The two teams average a combined 7.2 more points per game (222.2) than this game’s over/under of 215 points.
  • Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 229.9 points per game, 14.9 more than the over/under in this game.
  • The Heat’s average point total in outings this year is 219.7, 4.7 points higher than the over/under in this game.
  • The average over/under for Pistons games this season is 17.4 more points than the point total of 215 in this outing.
  • Back the Heat on the Moneyline (-265)

  • The Heat have won in 26, or 72.2%, of the 36 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year.
  • The Pistons have won nine of the 59 games they were the underdog on the moneyline this season (15.3%).
  • This year, the Heat have won 10 of 14 games when listed as at least -265 or better on the moneyline.
  • The Pistons have a 3-40 record (winning just 7% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +215 or longer.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Heat have a 72.6% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Based on this game’s moneyline, the Pistons’ implied win probability is 31.7%.
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