Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers ALCS Game 6 odds, tips and betting trends

Sportsbook Wire

21 October 2023

Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers ALCS Game 6 odds, tips and betting trends

The Houston Astros host the Texas Rangers for Game 6 of the ALCS on Sunday at 8:03 PM ET at Minute Maid Park. The Astros have a 3-2 series lead, and will aim to clinch a place in the World Series.

The Rangers are an underdog (+104 on the moneyline) when they take the field at the Astros (-123). The probable starters are Framber Valdez (12-11, 3.45 ERA) for the Astros against Nathan Eovaldi (12-5, 3.63 ERA) for the Rangers.

Ryan Pressly (2.0 IP, 0 R, 2 H, 3 K) picked up the win in the Astros’ 5-4 victory over the Rangers Sunday. Jose Altuve led the way offensively, going 1-for-5 with a home run and three RBI. Jose Leclerc (1.1 IP, 3 R, 2 H, 1 K) was handed the loss for the Rangers.

To prepare for the Astros vs. Rangers, here is what you need to get ready for Sunday’s playoff action, including viewing options.

Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers odds and betting lines

BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Saturday at 9:24 PM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Favorite: Astros (-123, bet $123 to win $100)
Underdog: Rangers (+104, bet $100 to win $104)
Over/under: 8.5

The Astros have won 63, or 51.2%, of the 123 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
Houston is 57-49 this season when entering a game favored by -123 or more on the moneyline.
The Astros have a 55.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
So far this season, Houston and its opponents have hit the over in 89 of 171 games with a total.
The Astros have an ATS record of 86-85-0 in 171 games with a spread this season.

Valdez (12-11 with a 3.45 ERA and 200 strikeouts in 198 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Astros, his 32nd of the season.
The lefty’s most recent appearance came on Monday against the Texas Rangers, when he threw 2 2/3 innings, surrendering four earned runs while giving up seven hits.
In 31 games this season, the 29-year-old has put up a 3.45 ERA and 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .228 to opposing hitters.
Valdez enters this outing with 20 quality starts under his belt this year.
Valdez enters this game with 28 outings of five or more innings pitched this campaign.
He has had six appearances this season in which he held his opponents to zero earned runs.
He will face a Rangers offense that ranks second in MLB with 1470 total hits (on a .263 batting average). The team also slugs a collective .452 (third in MLB) with 233 total home runs (third in MLB).
Valdez has a 5.59 ERA and a 1.759 WHIP against the Rangers this season in 19 1/3 innings pitched, allowing a .301 batting average over four appearances.
The 29-year-old ranks 15th in ERA (3.45), 13th in WHIP (1.126), and 22nd in K/9 (9.1) among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season.

The Astros’ 222 home runs rank seventh in Major League Baseball.
Fueled by 524 extra-base hits, Houston ranks sixth in MLB with a .437 slugging percentage this season.
The Astros rank fourth in MLB with a .259 team batting average.
Houston is among the highest-scoring teams in the majors, ranking fifth with 827 total runs this season.
The Astros have an OBP of .331 this season, which ranks fourth in MLB.
Houston is one of the most-disciplined teams at the plate this season, ranking third with an average of 7.7 strikeouts per game.

The Rangers have been chosen as underdogs in 57 games this year and have walked away with the win 30 times (52.6%) in those games.
This season, Texas has come away with a win 17 times in 34 chances when named as an underdog of at least +104 or worse on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rangers have a 49% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
Texas and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 88 of its 172 opportunities.
The Rangers are 96-76-0 against the spread in their 172 games that had a posted line this season.

Eovaldi gets the start for the Rangers, his 26th of the season. He is 12-5 with a 3.63 ERA and 132 strikeouts in 144 2/3 innings pitched.
In his most recent time out on Monday, the right-hander went six innings against the Houston Astros, allowing three earned runs while surrendering five hits.
The 33-year-old has put up an ERA of 3.63, with 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings in 25 games this season. Opposing batters have a .225 batting average against him.
Eovaldi is trying for his fourth straight quality start.
Eovaldi will look to pitch five or more innings for his fourth straight start. He’s averaging 5.8 innings per outing.
He has held his opponents without an earned run in eight of his 25 outings this season.
He will face an Astros offense that ranks fifth in the league with 827 total runs scored while batting .259 as a unit. His opponent has a collective .437 slugging percentage (sixth in MLB action) and has hit a total of 222 home runs (seventh in the league).
Eovaldi has a 4.4 ERA and a 1.256 WHIP against the Astros this season in 14 1/3 innings pitched, allowing a .231 batting average over three appearances.

The Rangers average 1.4 home runs per game to rank third in MLB play with 233 total home runs .
So far this year, Texas is third in baseball, slugging .452.
The Rangers have the second-best batting average in the majors (.263).
The offense for Texas is No. 3 in the majors, scoring 5.4 runs per game (881 total runs).
The Rangers’ .337 on-base percentage is third-best in baseball.