Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers ALCS Game 7 odds, tips and betting trends

Sportsbook Wire

23 October 2023

Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers ALCS Game 7 odds, tips and betting trends

The Houston Astros are at home for Game 7 of the ALCS against the Texas Rangers on Monday at 8:03 PM ET at Minute Maid Park. The winner clinches the series and advances to the World Series.

The Astros are a home favorite (-126) against the Rangers (+106). The probable starters are Cristian Javier (10-5, 4.56 ERA) for the Astros against Max Scherzer (13-6, 3.77 ERA) for the Rangers.

These squads play again after the Rangers’ 9-2 victory over the Astros yesterday. Nathan Eovaldi (6.1 IP, 2 R, 5 H, 4 K) picked up the win for the Rangers. Mitch Garver went 3-for-4 with a double, a home run and two RBI to lead the team on offense. Framber Valdez (5.0 IP, 3 R, 5 H, 6 K) was credited with the loss on the mound for the Astros.

Before watching this Astros vs. Rangers matchup, here’s what you need to know about Monday’s playoff action, including viewing options.

Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers odds and betting lines

BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Monday at 9:16 AM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Favorite: Astros (-126, bet $126 to win $100)
Underdog: Rangers (+106, bet $100 to win $106)
Over/under: 9.5

This season, the Astros have been favored 124 times and won 63, or 50.8%, of those games.
Houston has a record of 53-46 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -126 on the moneyline.
The Astros have a 55.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
Houston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 90 of 172 opportunities.
The Astros are 86-86-0 against the spread in their 172 chances this season.

Javier (10-5 with a 4.56 ERA and 159 strikeouts in 162 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Astros, his 32nd of the season.
The righty last pitched on Thursday against the Texas Rangers, when he tossed 5 2/3 innings, allowing two earned runs while giving up three hits.
The 26-year-old has put up an ERA of 4.56, with 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings, in 31 games this season. Opponents have a .234 batting average against him.
Javier has 11 quality starts under his belt this year.
Javier will try to build upon a four-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.2 frames per appearance).
In two of his 31 total appearances this season he has not surrendered an earned run.
The opposing Rangers offense has the third-ranked slugging percentage (.452) and ranks third in MLB play with 233 home runs. It has a collective .263 batting average, and is second in MLB with 1470 total hits and third in MLB play scoring 881 runs.
Head-to-head against the Rangers this season, Javier has thrown 10 innings, giving up 10 earned runs on 12 hits while striking out seven.
This season, the 26-year-old ranks 37th in ERA (4.56), 31st in WHIP (1.265), and 27th in K/9 (8.8) among qualifying pitchers.

The Astros have hit 222 homers this season, which ranks seventh in the league.
Hitters for Houston rank sixth in the majors with a combined .437 team slugging percentage.
The Astros rank fourth in MLB with a .259 team batting average.
Houston is among the highest-scoring teams in the majors, ranking fifth with 827 total runs this season.
The Astros have an OBP of .331 this season, which ranks fourth in MLB.
Houston is one of the most-disciplined teams at the plate this season, ranking third with an average of 7.7 strikeouts per game.

The Rangers have been underdogs in 58 games this season and have come away with the win 31 times (53.4%) in those contests.
This year, Texas has won 17 of 33 games when listed as at least +106 or worse on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rangers have a 48.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
Texas’ games have gone over the total in 89 of its 173 opportunities.
The Rangers are 97-76-0 against the spread in their 173 games that had a posted line this season.

Scherzer gets the start for the Rangers, his 28th of the season. He is 13-6 with a 3.77 ERA and 174 strikeouts in 152 2/3 innings pitched.
In his most recent time out on Thursday, the right-hander threw four innings against the Houston Astros, allowing five earned runs while surrendering five hits.
The 39-year-old has an ERA of 3.77, with 10.3 strikeouts per nine innings in 27 games this season. Opponents have a .221 batting average against him.
Scherzer has 14 quality starts under his belt this season.
Scherzer will look to collect his 23rd game of five or more innings pitched this season. He averages 5.6 innings per appearance.
He has had seven appearances this season in which he did not allow an earned run.
He will face an Astros offense that ranks fifth in the league with 827 total runs scored while batting .259 as a squad. His opponent has a collective .437 slugging percentage (sixth in MLB play) and has hit a total of 222 home runs (seventh in the league).
Head-to-head against the Astros this season, Scherzer has thrown 15 innings, giving up 13 earned runs on 15 hits while striking out 16.

The Rangers average 1.4 home runs per game to rank third in baseball with 233 total home runs .
So far this year, Texas’ .452 slugging percentage is third-best in the majors.
The Rangers are second in MLB with a .263 batting average.
Texas is the third-highest scoring team in MLB, averaging 5.4 runs per game (881 total).
The Rangers’ .337 on-base percentage ranks third-best in the majors.