How to Pick the Lightning vs. Canadiens Game with Odds, Spread, Betting Line and Stats

The Tampa Bay Lightning and Montreal Canadiens -- both coming off defeats in their last game -- will play on Saturday at 7:00 PM ET, at Amalie Arena in Tampa. The oddsmakers have made the Lightning heavy favorites at -270 on the moneyline, and the Canadiens are at +216.

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Lightning vs. Canadiens Picks

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Total Pick

Pick OU: Over 6.5 (model projecting 6.6 goals)

• This season, Tampa Bay games have gone over this one's 6.5-goal total 30 times.
• In Montreal's 60 games this season, 31 have finished with more goals than Saturday's over/under of 6.5.
• The total for this game (6.5) is 0.4 more than the combined scoring averages for the Lightning (3.35) and the Canadiens (2.77).
• These two teams are allowing a combined 6.9 goals per game, 0.4 more than this contest's over/under.

Moneyline Pick

Lightning Moneyline: -270

• The Lightning are 20-14 this season when favored on the moneyline.
• Tampa Bay has been a moneyline favorite of -270 or shorter twice this season, and won both.
• Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Lightning have an implied probability of 73.0% to win.

Canadiens Moneyline: +216

• In 55 games as the underdog on the moneyline, Montreal has pulled off the upset 19 times.
• The Canadiens have won a single game with moneyline odds of +216 or longer (in seven such games).
• Montreal has a 31.6% chance to win this matchup (implied from the moneyline odds).

Score Prediction

Prediction:
Tampa Bay 4, Montreal 2

Lightning Leaders

• A productive offensive player this season for Tampa Bay, Nikita Kucherov has recorded 104 points.
• Brayden Point has 31 goals and 33 assists for Tampa Bay to compile 64 total points (1.0 per game).
• Tampa Bay's scoring effort is aided by Victor Hedman's 64 points. He's contributed 50 assists.
• As Tampa Bay's top goalie, Andrei Vasilevskiy has recorded 20 wins and 15 losses this season while giving up 105 goals with 904 saves.

Canadiens Points Leaders

• Nicholas Suzuki is a top offensive contributor for his squad with 59 points (1.0 per game). He has totaled 24 goals and 35 assists in 60 games (playing 21:13 per game).
• Cole Caufield has made a major impact for Montreal this season with 47 points, thanks to 19 goals and 28 assists.
• Montreal's Michael Matheson has 43 points, courtesy of eight goals (seventh on team) and 35 assists (first).
• Samuel Montembeault's record stands at 13-10-5 on the season, allowing 91 goals (3.2 goals against average) and compiling 859 saves with a .904 save percentage (33rd in the league).

Lightning's Schedule

Canadiens' Schedule

Tampa Bay vs. Montreal Game Info

• Date: Saturday, March 2, 2024
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• How to Watch on TV: ESPN+ and BSSUN
• Location: Tampa, Florida
• Venue: Amalie Arena

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