Jai Herbert vs Fares Ziam Pick, 7/22/2023 Predictions UFC London Odds

Saturday, July 22, 2023

Jai Herbert will face off with Fares Ziam at UFC London on Saturday, July 22, 2023. The opening line has Herbert at +125 while Ziam is priced at -155.

Jai "Black Country Banger" Herbert steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 12-4-1. The 35-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and stands 6'1". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 77". Fares "Smile Killer" Ziam stands 6'1" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout holding a record of 13-4-0. The 26-year-old has a reach of 75". With respect to significant strikes, Jai Herbert connects on 2.55 per minute and Fares Ziam connects on 2.52 significant strikes per min. Herbert is landing 42% of the significant strikes he attempts and Ziam is connecting on 44%. Regarding defending in the cage, "Black Country Banger" takes 2.92 significant strikes per minute while "Smile Killer" takes 1.70. Herbert also defends 45% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt while Ziam defends against 66% of the strikes thrown his way.

In the category of takedowns, Jai Herbert is not as efficient of a wrestler as he scores a takedown 0.25 times per 15 minutes. Herbert is getting his opponent to the mat on 25% of his tries and stuffing 52% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Ziam is taking his opponents to the canvas on 25% of the takedowns he attempts and stuffing 70% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Herbert is less apt at going for the finish by trying 0.4 finishes per 15 min while Ziam goes for 0.5 finishes per 3 rds.

In his previous bout, Jai Herbert faced Ludovit Klein and ended up in a draw by majority decision in round 3. Klein ended up landing 78 of 132 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Herbert walked away from this fight having landed 96 of 168 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Klein ended up landing 47 of 97, which gave him a rate of 48%. He finished the fight landing 30 of 75 significant strikes to the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Herbert landed 47% of his significant strikes by connecting on 43 of 90. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he landed 15 of 59 to the head. 63% of the significant strikes connected on by Klein and 55% of them landed by Herbert were tallied at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Fares Ziam, he fought Michal Figlak and wound up taking home the win by unanimous decision in round 3. Figlak ended up landing 89% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Ziam ended up landing 75% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Ziam ended up connecting on 55% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 60 of 108. He landed 34 of 81 significant strikes to the head. Figlak connected on 28 of 96 significant strikes in that contest. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he connected on 13 of 74 directed at the head. When discussing total strikes attempted in that contest, Figlak ended up connecting on 55 of 126 while Ziam was 111 of 162 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Lerone Murphy enters the Octagon with Josh Culibao. Murphy steps into the cage with a record of 12-0-1. The 31-year-old steps on the scale at 145 lbs and measures 5'9". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 73". Culibao measures in at 5'10" and tips the scales at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 11-1-1. The 29-year-old has a reach of 73". Regarding grappling, Lerone Murphy is able to score a takedown 0.83 times per 3 rds while Josh Culibao takes his opponents to the mat 0.40 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Murphy tags his opponents 3.58 strikes/min and is landing 48% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage you've got Josh Culibao, who connects on 43% of his attempted strikes and connects for an average of 2.96 per minute.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Daniel Marcos is set to square up against Davey Grant. Grant comes into this bout with a mark of 15-6-0. The 37-year-old weighs 135 lbs and stands 5'8". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 69". Marcos measures in at 5'7" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a record of 14-0-0. The 30-year-old has a wingspan of 69". In terms of grappling, Davey Grant is preventing 62% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is taking his opponents down on 42% of his attempts. Marcos is taking his opponents down on 15% of his attempts and deflects 88% of all takedown tries against him. In the category of striking, Grant is taking 3.89 strikes per min while he deals 4.78 strikes per min. Marcos, in contrast, takes 3.05 strikes per min and lands 6.01 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Fares Ziam (-155)

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