Israel Adesanya vs Sean Strickland Pick, 9/9/2023 Predictions UFC 293 Odds

Israel Adesanya vs Sean Strickland

UFC 293

Qudos Bank Arena in Sydney, Australia

Saturday, September 9, 2023

Israel Adesanya will battle Sean Strickland at UFC 293 on Saturday, September 9, 2023. The opening moneyline has Adesanya coming in at -650 while Strickland is coming in at +470.

Israel "The Last Stylebender" Adesanya steps into the cage with a mark of 24-2-0. The 34-year-old will fight at 185 lbs and stands 6'4". The switch fighter reaches 80". Sean Strickland Strickland measures in at 6'1" and weighs in at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 27-5-0. The 32-year-old has an arm span of 76". When talking about significant strikes, Israel Adesanya connects on 3.94 per minute while Sean Strickland is landing 5.86 significant strikes per minute. Adesanya connects on 49% of the significant strikes he throws and Strickland lands 41%. In terms of the fighter's defense, "The Last Stylebender" takes 2.88 significant strikes per minute while Strickland allows 4.28. Adesanya also curbs 57% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him and Strickland curbs 62% of the shots thrown his way.

In the wrestling category, Israel Adesanya is the not as competent as a wrestler as he is averaging a takedown 0.06 times per 15 minutes. Adesanya is finishing his takedown attempts on 14% of the times he tries and defending 77% of all takedown attempts. Strickland is scoring a takedown on 64% of his takedown tries and is defending 84% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding subbing opponents, Adesanya is less likely to go for the finish by going for 0.2 finishes per 15 minutes while Strickland looks to get 0.4 finishes per 3 rounds.

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In his previous bout, Israel Adesanya fought Alex Pereira and wound up taking home the victory by a punch to the head in round 2. Pereira landed 49 of 85 total strikes attempted in that contest. Adesanya walked away from this fight having landed 41 of 96 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Pereira landed 49 of 85, which gave him a percentage of 57%. He ended up landing 8 of 28 significant strikes aimed at the head. Statistically, Adesanya landed 42% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 41 of 96. Of all the significant strikes, he connected on 18 of 61 to the head. 97% of the significant strikes connected on by Pereira and 97% of them connected on by Adesanya were tallied at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Sean Strickland, he battled Abus Magomedov and ended up getting the victory in the fight by a punch to the head while on the ground in round 2. Magomedov connected on 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Strickland ended up connecting on 82% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Strickland connected on 43% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 81 of 188. He landed 80 of 186 significant strikes to the head. Magomedov landed 47 of 101 significant strikes in that battle. Of all the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 21 of 68 aimed at the head. Discussing total strikes attempted in that contest, Magomedov ended up landing 47 of 101 while Strickland connected on 81 of 188 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights on the card to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Tai Tuivasa enters the Octagon with Alexander Volkov. Tuivasa will be looking to add a victory to his record of 15-5-0. The 30-year-old will fight at 264 lbs and measures 6'2". The southpaw fighter stretches 75". Volkov stands 6'7" and is fighting at 250 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 36-10-0. The 34-year-old stretches 80". In the grappling category, Tai Tuivasa gets a takedown 0.30 times per 3 rds and Alexander Volkov takes his opponents down 0.51 times per 15 min. Regarding striking, Tuivasa lands an average of 4.10 strikes per minute and connects on 49% out of all the strikes he attempts. The other fighter in this bout is Alexander Volkov, who is landing 57% of the strikes he has tried and connects on 4.89 per minute.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Austen Lane is set to go up against Justin Tafa. Tafa steps into the cage with a mark of 6-3-0 (1 NC). The 29-year-old tips the scales at 264 lbs and comes in at 6'0". The southpaw fighter reaches 74". Lane comes in at 6'6" and weighs in at 245 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon holding a record of 12-3-0 (1 NC). The 35-year-old extends his reach 80". Regarding takedowns, Justin Tafa thwarts 85% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is finishing his takedown attempts on 15% of his tries. Lane is finishing his takedowns on 15% of his attempts and is able to defend against 15% of all takedown tries against him. With reference to striking, Tafa takes 5.95 strikes per min while he is dealing 5.02 strikes per min. Lane, notwithstanding, absorbs 1.67 strikes per min and is connecting on 4.33 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Israel Adesanya (-650)

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