Jelena Ostapenko vs. Angelique Kerber odds, tips and betting trends

On Friday, Angelique Kerber meets Jelena Ostapenko (No. 10) in the Round of 64 of the BNP Paribas Open. Ostapenko is favored over Kerber, with -400 odds compared to the underdog’s +280.

In Ostapenko’s last competition, she fell to Anna Kalinskaya 4-6, 5-7 in the Round of 16 at the Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships on February 21, 2024.

Kerber is coming off a two-set win in her last match on Wednesday in the Round of 128 over Petra Martic (6-3, 6-4).

BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Thursday at 6:46 PM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Ostapenko vs. Kerber match information

• Tournament: The BNP Paribas Open
• Round: Round of 64
• Date: Friday, March 8
• Venue: Indian Wells Tennis Garden
• Location: Indian Wells, California
• Court Surface: Hard

Stream tennis and other live sports by signing up for Fubo today!

• In her 65 matches over the past year across all court surfaces, Ostapenko has played an average of 22.8 games.
• In her 44 matches on hard courts over the past year, Ostapenko has played an average of 23.0 games.
• Ostapenko has won 39.6% of her return games over the past year, and 70.2% of her service games.
• In terms of serve/return winning percentages on hard courts over the past 12 months, Ostapenko has won 68.5% of her games on serve and 39.5% on return.
• Over her last 10 tournaments, Ostapenko has won 73.5% of her service games and 37.3% of her return games.
• Including all surfaces over the past 12 months, Ostapenko has converted 46.2% of her break-point chances (284 of 615).
• Ostapenko has converted 45.6% of her break-point opportunities (110 of 241) over her last 10 tournaments.

• In the past year, Kerber has played two total matches (across all court types), winning 32.5% of the games. She averages 20.0 games per match and 8.0 games per set.
• Kerber has averaged 20.0 games per match and 8.0 games per set in two matches on hard courts in the past year, winning 32.5% of those games.
• Kerber has amassed a service game winning percentage of 40.0% on all surfaces (8-for-20 in service games) and a return game winning percentage of 25.0% (5-for-20 in return games).
• Kerber has finished 8-for-20 in service games on hard courts (40.0% winning percentage), and 5-for-20 in return games (25.0%).
• In terms of serve/return winning percentages over her last 10 tournaments, Kerber has won 65.3% of her games on serve, and 39.1% on return.
• Kerber is 455th in break point win percentage in the past year, at 45.5% after going 5-for-11.
• Kerber has converted 44.7% of her break-point chances (92 of 206) over her last 10 tournaments.

• Ostapenko and Kerber have split 1-1 in two matches. Kerber took their most recent battle on August 19, 2021, winning 4-6, 6-2, 7-5.
• It’s been even between Ostapenko and Kerber when it comes to sets, each taking three against the other.
• Kerber and Ostapenko have played 59 total games between them, with Kerber winning more of them (30).
• In two head-to-head meetings, Ostapenko and Kerber have played 29.5 games and three sets per match.