Jessica Andrade vs Yan Xiaonan Pick, 5/6/2023 Predictions UFC 288 Odds

Prudential Center in Newark, NJ

Saturday, May 6, 2023

Jessica Andrade will take on Yan Xiaonan at UFC 288 on Saturday, May 6, 2023. The opener has Andrade coming in at -200 while Xiaonan is at +160.

Jessica "Bate Estaca" Andrade steps into the cage with a mark of 24-10-0. The 31-year-old weighs in at 115 lbs and stands 5'1". The orthodox fighter stretches 62". Yan Xiaonan comes in at 5'5" and is fighting at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 16-3-0 (1 NC). The 33-year-old stretches 63". When talking about significant strikes, Jessica Andrade lands 6.84 per min and Yan Xiaonan is connecting on 5.45 significant strikes per min. Andrade connects on 51% of the significant strikes she tries while Xiaonan lands 44%. Regarding defense, "Bate Estaca" absorbs 5.34 significant strikes per min while Xiaonan absorbs 3.53. Andrade also stops 54% of the significant strikes her opponents throw at her and Xiaonan is able to deflect 61% of the shots thrown in her direction.

In the category of takedowns, Jessica Andrade is the more competent wrestler as she takes her opponents to the canvas 2.64 times per 3 rds. Andrade is scoring a takedown on 54% of her tries and is stopping 73% of all takedown attempts. Xiaonan is getting her opponent to the mat on 66% of the takedowns she attempts and is defending 70% of the attempts against her. Regarding going for the sub, Andrade is the more capable fighter by trying 0.4 finishes per 15 min while Xiaonan goes for 0.2 finishes per 15 min.

In her last bout, Jessica Andrade faced Erin Blanchfield and was on the losing end of this fight via rear naked choke in round 2. Blanchfield ended up landing 53 of 124 total strikes that she let go in that fight. Andrade finished this fight landing 56 of 147 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Blanchfield landed 51 of 120, giving her a percentage of 42%. She ended up landing 38 of 105 significant strikes to the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Andrade landed 37% of her significant strikes by landing 53 of 143. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, she connected on 28 of 107 pointed at the head. 98% of the significant strikes landed by Blanchfield and 94% of them connected on by Andrade were thrown at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Yan Xiaonan, she went up against Mackenzie Dern and took home the victory by majority decision in round 5. Dern landed 85% of her significant strikes at distance and Xiaonan ended up connecting on 88% of the significant strikes she attempted at distance. Xiaonan connected on 57% of the significant strikes she attempted by connecting on 113 of 195. She ended up landing 53 of 126 significant strikes directed at the head. Dern ended up landing 61 of 151 significant strikes in that fight. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, she landed 45 of 132 to the head. When discussing total strikes thrown, Dern ended up landing 224 of 339 while Xiaonan ended up connecting on 151 of 240 of the strikes she threw in total.

Other fights to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Aljamain Sterling meets Henry Cejudo. Sterling will be looking to add a win to his career total of 22-3-0. The 33-year-old is weighing in at 135 lbs and stands in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 71". Cejudo comes in at 5'4" and steps on the scale at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career record of 16-2-0. The 36-year-old has an arm span of 64". Concerning takedowns, Aljamain Sterling takes his opponents down 1.98 times per 15 min while Henry Cejudo takes his opponents down 2.12 times per 3 rounds. In the striking category, Sterling tags his opponents 4.70 strikes per minute and landing 51% of the strikes that he attempts. Joining him in the Octagon is Henry Cejudo, who lands 45% of the strikes he has thrown and connects on 3.92 per min.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Gilbert Burns is set to encounter Belal Muhammad. Muhammad holds a record of 22-3-0 (1 NC). The 34-year-old weighs 170 lbs and measures 5'11". The orthodox fighter reaches 72". Burns comes in at 5'10" and is weighing in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a record of 22-5-0. The 36-year-old has a reach of 71". In terms of wrestling, Belal Muhammad is stopping 92% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is finishing his takedowns on 35% of his attempts. Burns is taking his opponents to the mat on 37% of the attempts he tries and is able to stop 47% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Concerning striking, Muhammad takes 3.68 strikes/minute while he is dealing 4.47 per minute. Burns, at the same time, is absorbing 3.13 strikes per min and connects on 3.38 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Yan Xiaonan (+160)

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